* Brent crude below $80 on Iran supply hopes
* Warsh to navigate between dovish Trump and hawkish pricing
* Stocks sideways as chip selling eases; dollar steady
* European yields track Treasuries lower on oil price relief
(Updates prices after European market open, adds quotes)
By Tom Westbrook and Danilo Masoni
SINGAPORE/MILAN, June 17 (Reuters) - Crude prices fell on
Wednesday on news that Iranian fuel may soon hit the world's
markets, bringing inflation relief and pushing bond yields
lower, while stocks and currencies were quiet ahead of Kevin
Warsh's debut as Federal Reserve chair.
Brent crude futures dove below $80 and are down more
than a third from recent peaks following reports that the U.S.
will waive sanctions on Iranian oil, under a deal to end the
war.
The prospect of extra supply added to optimism about the
resumption of Middle East exports and helped push yields on U.S.
Treasuries lower along with a rally in global bonds, even as the
conflict has drained strategic oil reserves.
"Iran's total exports could approach around the equivalent
of 2% of global demand," said Luka Belobrajdic, an economist at
Westpac, though he cautioned any sanctions relief is unlikely to
be immediate and would depend on the durability of peace.
German 10-year government bond yields, the euro
zone benchmark, fell for a fifth day, hitting their lowest point
since early April; they were last down 1.6 basis points at
2.91%.
British yields fell sharply after May inflation unexpectedly
held at a 13-month low of 2.8%, a day before the Bank of England
is slated to unveil its next rate decision. U.S. Treasury yields
steadied at 4.43%, down around 23 basis points from a May peak.
Few details of the U.S.-Iran agreement, due to be signed on
Friday, have been publicly confirmed, and a three-month
stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz has U.S. oil reserves at
their lowest point since 1983.
Falling oil prices could ease concerns about an economic
slowdown in energy-importing Europe, whose stock markets have
lagged tech-heavy Wall Street indices this year.
"Lower prices could lead to a recovery in manufacturing and
consumer sentiment," wrote Deutsche Bank strategist Maximilian
Uleer, dropping his preference for U.S. stocks over Europe.
The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.1%, staying close
to Monday's record. Shares in BMW fell 8% after the
German automaker slashed its 2026 outlook, citing a downturn in
China and the impact of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
The FTSE 100 was 0.1% lower.
Wall Street futures pointed to a bounce in tech
after heavy losses among U.S. chipmakers, as volatility
resurfaced in the sector after a record-breaking run.
Chipmaker-heavy markets in Tokyo and South Korea
shrugged off a negative lead from U.S. selling in
semiconductor shares overnight, though a fall for Taiwan's TSMC
capped gains in Taiwan's benchmark.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was up 0.4% and in China, AI gains offset
sagging consumer stocks in the wake of weak retail sales data.
FED ON HOLD, WARSH IN FOCUS
Traders are waiting to see how Warsh walks the line between
his dovish president and the markets, which expect a hike this
year. The anticipation has broadly held the dollar in stasis.
The euro has firmed only a little this week to hover
around $1.16. Tuesday's rate hike in Japan failed to lift the
yen, though the downside was protected by the risk of official
intervention, holding it at 160.2 to the dollar.
A change in the Fed funds rate is unlikely, so the focus is
on the press conference, Warsh's vote and committee members'
projections, which in March showed most expected to cut rates.
"I don't have either cuts or hikes on my radar in the next
12 months," said Arne Petimezas, director of research at Dutch
broker AFS Group. "If Warsh is going to hike, which is where I
think the risks are, it will be more than just one hike."
Sweden's Riksbank kept its policy rate unchanged, but
forecast a possible hike ahead.
Gold , down more than 20% from January peaks, has
bounced strongly from support at around $4,000 an ounce and was
last at $4,325 an ounce on Wednesday. Bitcoin has found
support above $64,000 and recently traded just above $65,400.