LONDON, June 3 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little
changed on Monday as investors digested the complex deal
brokered by producer group OPEC+ to extend various layers of
output cuts, much of them into 2025.
Brent crude futures for August delivery were down 9
cents at $81.02 a barrel by 1209 GMT. U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for July delivery
slipped 14 cents to $76.85.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
allies led by Russia, together known as OPEC+, are currently
reducing output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day
(bpd), equating to about 5.7% of global demand.
The group agreed on Sunday to extend much of its cuts well
into 2025 to support the market in the face of softer than
expected demand growth, protracted high interest rates in key
Western economies, worries over slow demand growth in top oil
importer China and rising non-OPEC production.
The deal includes extending 3.66 million bpd of cuts that
were due to expire at the end of 2024 until the end of 2025.
It also prolongs 2.2 million bpd of voluntary cuts that were
to expire at the end of this month but will now be kept in place
until the end of September before they are phased out gradually
by September 2025.
"Clearly the challenge for the group will be to hold or cut
back if demand doesn't prove as robust and we believe their
strong cohesion should allow for greater flexibly, if needed,"
J.P. Morgan analyst Christyan Malek said.
Some analysts described the group's decision as
incrementally bearish for oil prices, given it was always
planned that the 2.2 million bpd of extra cuts would be unwound
gradually.
"The communication of a surprisingly detailed default plan
to unwind extra cuts makes it harder to maintain low production
if the market turns out softer than bullish OPEC expectations,"
Goldman Sachs analysts said.
These eight core members account for only about 30% of
global oil output, making it harder for the group to convince
markets that it is able to support prices when the proportion of
output it has effective control over is limited, said Callum
Macpherson, head of commodities at Investec.
"Even achieving this (deal) has come at the cost of agreeing
to output increases in 2025 on top of its plan to unwind the
voluntary cuts. It is not clear the additional supply will find
a home next year," he said.
The front-month contract for Brent, for instance, has fallen
by a few dollars since Reuters first reported such an OPEC+ deal
was in the works last week.