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Pound heads for biggest two-day drop since July
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Public borrowing surges in headache for finance minister
Reeves
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UK bond yields up after Bank of England debt sales tweaks
(Updates with comment, refreshes prices)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The pound headed for its
biggest two-day drop since late July on Friday, while bond
yields rose, after a surge in UK public borrowing and a Bank of
England rate decision that laid bare the challenge for
policymakers in balancing growth and inflation.
Official data on Friday showed public sector borrowing
between April and August totalled 83.8 billion pounds ($113.39
billion), 11.4 billion pounds more than forecast by the Office
for Budget Responsibility earlier this year.
The surge compounds the problem finance minister Rachel
Reeves faces with her November budget, in which she had already
been expected to announce new tax rises to stay on track to meet
her fiscal rules and avoid unsettling financial markets.
"The pound has sunk on this data, and is testing support at
$1.35, it is the second-worst performing currency in the G10 FX
space today," XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said.
Sterling fell 0.5% to $1.349. It has lost almost
1.1% in the last two days alone, the largest such decline since
July 31.
The BoE left interest rates unchanged on Thursday as
expected and opted to reduce the pace of its government bond
sales to minimise the impact on the more volatile longer-dated
section of the market.
With inflation running at nearly double the central bank's
2% target, the BoE has only limited scope to lower rates much
more to help shore up the economy, where evidence is mounting of
weakness in the labour market.
UK bond yields rose on Friday, with long-dated 30-year gilts
up 4.3 basis points at 5.547%, pushing the premium
over long-term borrowing costs in the United States to the
highest in three years.
"A combination of gilt market stress and reversals on
welfare reform has used up the thin margin for error in the
government's current spending plans, meaning taxes will almost
certainly need to rise if the fiscal rules are to be met," Matt
Swannell, who is chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club,
said.
Data on Friday showed retail sales rose by more than
expected in August, thanks to sunny weather, although sales
growth in July was revised down.
Yet this offered little comfort to bruised UK bonds or the
currency.
A number of major retailers, including Primark owner
Associated British Foods ( ASBFF ) and budget supermarket Aldi UK,
have signalled concern about the outlook for consumer spending
given upcoming tax rises and a deteriorating jobs market.
"This is yet another disappointing piece of economic news
which will add to Chancellor Rachel Reeves's woes. But as we saw
yesterday, the Bank of England dare not cut rates given that
inflation is nearly double the official target of 2%, and likely
to rise further," Trade Nation senior market analyst David
Morrison said.