(The opinions expressed here are those of the author.)
By Anna Szymanski
July 10 (Reuters) - Every Friday, Reuters Open Interest
(ROI) distills the financial week into five key charts,
spotlighting the major trends, surprises and overlooked moves
that defined the past five days.
1. CRUDE SHRUG
RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist: Oil prices jumped this week
after the latest, and most serious, flare-up in the Middle East
after Iranian forces hit tankers crossing the Strait of Hormuz,
prompting tit-for-tat exchanges with the U.S. However, crude
prices remain well below $80 a barrel, indicating that
traders don't think the interim peace deal between the U.S. and
Iran is truly "over."
But even if this latest rise in Middle East tensions soon dies
down, the stop-start flow of tankers through the Strait of
Hormuz remains a nightmare scenario for Gulf nations desperate
to return to normal after a bruising multi-month conflict.
2. KOSPI VOLATILITY
ANNA SZYMANSKI, ROI Editor-in-Charge: South Korea's benchmark
stock index - one of the star performers of 2026 - has been
particularly volatile this week, sliding more than 5% on
Wednesday and briefly entering technical bear-market territory
after a roughly 20% fall from a June 22 record close, before
rising on Thursday and Friday.
Does this mean investors are anxious about the AI trade or the
Korean companies at the heart of it? Not necessarily. The KOSPI
is still up more than 70% on the year, and Samsung
- one of the index's main constituents - reported an
eye-popping 19-fold jump in second-quarter profit on Tuesday.
Sure, some investors may be getting skittish about the
durability of the current AI chip boom, but we may also simply
be seeing profit-taking and rotation.
In a world of rapidly changing technology, geopolitical
ructions, and widespread momentum trading, market-watchers may
just need to get used to seeing massive short-term moves - and
not seek to overinterpret them.
3. RUSSIA'S FUEL CRISIS
MIKE DOLAN, ROI Finance & Markets Columnist: Russia remains one
of the world's largest energy producers despite stiff Western
sanctions following the country's full-scale invasion of Ukraine
in 2022. It was therefore surprising to hear that Russians are
now running short of fuel. Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia's
energy infrastructure have led to rationing, rising costs and
growing public discontent, with the country now having to import
fuel from India and Kazakhstan.
Importantly, this led Moscow to announce on Wednesday that it
was banning exports of diesel as part of its efforts to support
the domestic fuel market. Russia remains a large player in
diesel, so this decision could have wide-ranging implications
for energy markets.
4. PARTING COMPANY
ANNA SZYMANSKI, ROI Editor-in-Charge: Short-dated U.S. bond
yields remained elevated in recent months even as oil prices
fell. This may indicate that markets believe inflation in the
U.S. could remain sticky, even if energy prices sustainably
return to levels seen before the U.S.-Iran war broke out. Core
PCE, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% year-on-year in
May, well above the Fed's 2% target. Moreover, the minutes from
the Federal Reserve's June meeting, released on Wednesday,
indicate that inflation fears extend beyond fuel prices to other
areas, including the impact of booming AI investment on the U.S.
economy.
5. ELECTRIC SHOCK
GAVIN MAGUIRE, ROI Global Energy Transition Columnist:
Legislation signed by U.S. President Trump, which went into
effect on July 4, accelerates the phase-out of federal tax
credits for wind and solar projects, marking a sharp reversal
from the incentives created under the Inflation Reduction Act.
This is likely to result in a drop in new energy production and
a further rise in average electricity prices. Residential
electricity prices, which are the highest among all major U.S.
consumer groups, have already climbed by close to 40% since
2020, while prices for commercial and industrial users have also
gained more than a third over that period.
Opinions expressed are those of the authors. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Anna Szymanski
Editing by Marguerita Choy)