MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble
strengthened against the U.S. dollar and the Chinese yuan on
Monday with analysts saying that the market is still adjusting
to new U.S. financial sanctions and is not likely to react to an
expected key interest rate hike this week.
By 0930 GMT, the rouble was up 0.9% at 104.50 against
the dollar, according to over-the-counter market data from
banks. The rouble strengthened by 0.4% to 13.81 against the yuan
in trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange.
The Russian central bank is set to raise its benchmark
interest rate by another 200 basis points to 23% at its Dec. 20
board meeting, according to a Reuters poll of analysts, to fight
inflation.
"The rouble's volatility remains a direct consequence of
external factors. The expected increase in the key rate is
unlikely to have a noticeable impact on the rouble," said
Vladimir Evstifeev from Zenit Bank.
The U.S. sanctions, imposed on Nov. 22, hit Gazprombank,
Russia's third-largest lender, which handles payments for energy
trade with Europe, disrupting foreign trade transactions and the
supply of foreign currency to the Russian market.
The rouble lost up to 15% against the dollar after the
sanctions but it then recovered much of those losses.
One-day rouble/dollar futures, which trade on the Moscow
Stock Exchange and are a guide for the over-the-counter exchange
rate, were flat at 102.92. The Russian central bank set an
official exchange rate at 103.43 to the dollar.
One of Russia's richest businessman, Vladimir Potanin, CEO
of nickel and palladium producer Nornickel, said in an interview
with RBC television on Dec. 14 that an exchange rate of 100 to
105 roubles to the dollar was justified.
"An exchange rate of 100 to 110 roubles per dollar, I
believe, is something quite economically justified, something
the country can live with. It is a kind of balance between
budgetary interests and the interests of exporters," he said.