*
Foreign investors pull $3.7 billion from S.African
equities
since October
*
Emerging markets see inflows, but S.Africa struggles to
attract
investors
*
S.African stocks deliver 29% return YTD, among top global
performers
By Sfundo Parakozov, Colleen Goko, Alessandro Parodi
JOHANNESBURG, June 13 (Reuters) - Foreign investors have
pulled $3.7 billion out of South African equities since October
in the longest such streak of outflows in five years, a report
showed, as the continent's biggest equity market struggles to
attract international portfolio flows.
International investor confidence in stocks listed in
Africa's most industrialized economy has been fragile for years,
with equities having suffered annual outflows since 2022,
calculations by the Institute of International Finance show.
But the latest streak marks a sharp acceleration, coming in
at double the $1.9 billion of outflows across 2023 and 2024, the
IIF said.
South Africa is at risk of missing out on moves by global
fund managers reallocating into regions outside of the U.S.
without growth, said analysts, even as stocks trade at discount
prices.
"Investors are looking to diversify outside of the U.S., but
that doesn't automatically (make) South Africa a primary
destination," said Graham Tucker, portfolio manager at Old
Mutual Investment Group.
The local market was "relatively cheap", he added, but that
reflected a decade of declining per capita income and depressed
growth.
Emerging stocks as a global asset class have suffered
outflows more widely since October. But that changed in May when
major emerging stock markets from Brazil to Turkey and from
Taiwan to South Korea attracted fresh inflows, according to IIF
data.
Latin American countries are especially well-placed to benefit
from the U.S. market shifts.
The Johannesburg Stock Exchange has also seen higher volumes
of investments in recent weeks, but rising purchases are matched
by rising sales, the bourse's data shows.
South African equities have delivered a 29% return in dollar
terms year-to-date, placing them among the top five performers
globally behind only Greece, Spain, Germany and Italy, Bank of
America ( BAC ) said.
In the week to last Friday, non-residents bought more than
30 billion rand in South African stocks, the highest weekly
value in years, but that also coincided with heavy selling of
24.70 billion, the JSE data shows.
So far this year, non-residents have been net sellers of
$5.9 billion, a billion more compared to the same period in
2024.
"Foreign investors, if anything, behave like tourists. They
will come for a trade, especially in gold stocks when the
commodity runs, but they won't stay without long-term policy
certainty," said Tucker.
Higher offshore volumes mostly reflect global uncertainties,
as the country's growth fundamentals have not improved
significantly, Nedbank economist Isaac Matshego said.
Data from the country's statistics agency showed last week that
the country's gross domestic product stagnated in the first
quarter, mainly owing to six straight months of contractions in
the mining and manufacturing sectors.
($1 = 17.9439 rand)