Reuters May 13 - Sterling fell on Wednesday and was on
track for its first weekly decline in six weeks, with market
participants assessing political developments in Britain as
Prime Minister Keir Starmer resisted calls to resign.
The pound was last 0.2% lower against a broadly stronger
dollar at $1.351.
Fighting for his political life after dozens of his
lawmakers called for him to quit, Starmer promised on Wednesday
to press ahead with plans to reform Britain and warned of chaos
if he were to be ousted.
"The UK now looks set for a summer of severe political
uncertainty," said Kallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel
Hunt, in a note. "Against the already inflationary backdrop of
the Iran war, gilt markets will remain especially skittish and
equity markets may struggle to make gains short of an (unlikely)
quick resolution on the domestic political front."
Against the euro, sterling rose 0.1% to 86.59.
Moves are more muted than in the previous session, when the
pound shed 0.5% against the dollar in its biggest daily drop in
nearly six weeks.
"Maybe now that he's saying he's going to stay on, that is -
in the short term - calming markets a little bit," said Tommy
von Brömsen, FX strategist at Handelsbanken in Stockholm.
Moves have been more pronounced on the gilt market, but
British government bonds clawed back some ground on Wednesday
after being roiled in recent weeks by investor jitters around
the potential for more spending if Labour gets a new leader.
"But I think the bigger worry is that, not only are we
seeing near-term volatility in gilt markets and in sterling, but
also that this episode is another nail in the coffin for deep
structural concerns about the UK's ability to find leaders who
can come up with a credible plan to fix the country's finances
and deliver growth," wrote Neil Wilson, Saxo's UK investor
strategist.
Traders are betting on a 50% chance of no change at the Bank
of England's (BoE) next meeting on June 18.
Last month, the BoE kept interest rates on hold and set out
scenarios for the economic impact of the U.S.-Israeli war on
Iran, one of which could require a "forceful" increase in
borrowing costs.