Aug 18 (Reuters) - Sterling treaded water against the
dollar on Monday as investors focused on a pending meeting
between U.S. President Donald Trump and leaders from Ukraine and
Europe as well as UK consumer inflation data due later in the
week.
Sterling was flat at $1.3547 on the day but has
gained about 2% against the dollar over August so far, helped by
upbeat economic data and a hawkish rate cut by the Bank of
England earlier in the month.
Britain's consumer inflation data for July is due on
Wednesday and analysts at Goldman Sachs reckon that the domestic
macro backdrop will continue to be a key source of volatility
for the currency's performance versus European peers.
Goldman Sachs forecasts imply that core inflation in Britain
edged down to 3.62% last month, from 3.66% in June and 9 basis
points below the level implied by the Bank of England's
projections.
"Even with regional underperformance, though, we continue to
expect sterling's high beta to the Euro to support an upward
path in GBP/USD," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note.
On Monday, the euro was down 0.1% against sterling
at 0.8624.
"We do think that the UK's CPI data is going to come in a
little hotter this week. That should temporarily support the
pound but PMI (data) on Thursday should reverse that," said Nick
Rees, head of macro research at Monex Europe.
"We think you're going to see increased divergence between
the UK and euro zone economies."
The major economic event for global markets this week will
be the Kansas City Federal Reserve's August 21-23 Jackson Hole
symposium.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak on the economic
outlook and the central bank's policy framework on Friday.
Money markets are currently pricing in an 85% chance that
the Fed will cut policy rates by 25 basis points next month.