financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Trading Day: Fed dissent, oil ascent
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Trading Day: Fed dissent, oil ascent
Apr 29, 2026 2:20 PM

ORLANDO, Florida, April 29 (Reuters) - Oil surged toward $120 a barrel on Wednesday on deepening supply fears, while U.S. bond yields jumped and stocks stumbled after the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold masked the most divided vote since 1992.

In my column today, I look at the challenges Japan faces from the oil shock, rising bond yields and a weak currency - an unenviable trifecta with no obvious policy solution.

If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets today.

1. Fed holds rates steady amid sharp divide over policy easing bias

2. Fed chief nominee Warsh clears key hurdle in Senate confirmation process

3. Traders see the Fed on hold for now, and a rising chance of a rate hike

4. Trump met with oil firms on possible months-long extension of Iran blockade

5. Transatlantic rate convergence may be a mirage: Mike Dolan

Today's Key Market Moves

-- STOCKS: Asia higher, China +2%; Europe down - Stoxx 600 -0.6% to 3-week low, FTSE 100 -1%. Wall Street mostly lower too, Dow -0.6%, S&P 500 and Nasdaq essentially flat.

-- SECTORS/SHARES: Seven of the S&P 500 sectors fall, four rise. Energy the biggest mover, +2.4%. In after-hours trade, Meta -5%, Alphabet +5%.

-- FX: Dollar rises. Dollar/yen above 160.00, market on high-intervention alert.

-- BONDS: U.S. 10-year yield above 4.40%, highest in a month. 10y euro zone yield highest close since 2011, 10y gilt yield further above 5% for highest close since 2008.

-- COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil surges 7%, Brent has highest close in four years just under $120/bbl. Gold -1%, silver -2%.

Today's Talking Points

* Powell to the people

"Anyway, thank you very much everyone. I won't see you next time." And so Jerome Powell bade farewell to reporters at the end of his last press conference as Fed chair, after the Fed kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday as expected.

As Powell's 8-year tenure as Fed chair draws to a close - he will stay on as governor for a while - his successor Kevin Warsh cleared a key Senate hurdle on Wednesday and is expected to be confirmed in a full Senate vote the week of May 11. A new era awaits for the Fed. And the world.

* Hyperscalers report

Four of the 'Magnificent Seven' U.S. tech giants reported after-the-bell earnings on Wednesday for the Jan-March quarter - Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ), Meta and Microsoft ( MSFT ). Combined revenue of around $287 billion (including just Amazon's ( AMZN ) cloud computing revenue).

The collective outlook, particularly on the AI revolution and capex binge driving it, is what will guide sentiment and market prices in the coming weeks. Initial reaction suggests a mixed bag - Google shares jump 5%, Meta tanks 5%, Amazon ( AMZN ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ) dip a bit in choppy after-hours trade.

* Dollar/yen crosses 160

The yen has weakened below 160.00 per dollar, crossing a key level many analysts reckon could prompt Tokyo to wade into the market and buy yen. So far, the only intervention has been verbal, and authorities may judge the latest slide to be slow enough and in line with 'fundamentals'.

But Tokyo is in a bind. The yen is near a three-decade low against the dollar in nominal terms, and record low in 'REER' terms. Financial conditions are loose - the Nikkei is at a record high - but JGB yields are the highest in decades. Navigating these choppy waters will be incredibly difficult.

What could move markets tomorrow?

-- Developments in the Middle East

-- Energy market moves

-- Taiwan GDP (Q1, prelim)

-- Japan consumer confidence (April)

-- Japan retail sales (March)

-- Japan industrial orders (March)

-- China 'official' PMI (April)

-- Bank of England rate decision

-- European Central Bank rate decision

-- Euro zone GDP (Q1, flash)

-- Euro zone inflation (April, flash)

-- Germany retail sales (March)

-- Mexico GDP (Q1, flash)

-- U.S. GDP (Q1)

-- U.S. weekly jobless claims

-- U.S. PCE inflation (March)

-- U.S. Chicago PMI (April)

-- U.S. earnings include Apple, Eli Lilly, Mastercard, Caterpillar

Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for my newsletter here.

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
UK Stocks-Factors to watch on Oct 3
UK Stocks-Factors to watch on Oct 3
Oct 2, 2024
Oct 3 (Reuters) - Britain's FTSE 100 index is seen opening lower, with futures down 0.49%. * BANKS: Britain is giving banks enhanced new powers to delay and investigate suspicious payments in a bid to slash the estimated 460 million pounds ($610 million) lost to fraud in the last year. * BRITISH LAND ( BRLAF ): Property firm British Land...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Equities fall, safe haven assets rise on fears of Iran attack on Israel
GLOBAL MARKETS-Equities fall, safe haven assets rise on fears of Iran attack on Israel
Oct 2, 2024
(Updates prices at 11:04 a.m ET/ 1504 GMT) By Sinéad Carew and Yoruk Bahceli Oct 1 (Reuters) - MSCI's global equities index was lower on Tuesday while the dollar rose and Treasury yields fell while oil futures rallied as investors reacted to the escalating Middle East conflict with fears that Iran was planning an attack on Israel. A senior White...
Morning Bid: PMIs to pave the way for rate cuts
Morning Bid: PMIs to pave the way for rate cuts
Oct 2, 2024
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Stella Qiu Services PMIs due across Europe on Thursday are likely to show further moderation in activity and cement expectations for rate cuts in the region, while potential rate moves in New Zealand and the U.S. are also in focus. Investors are already betting the European Central Bank...
European Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Decline in Tuesday Trading
European Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Decline in Tuesday Trading
Oct 2, 2024
11:40 AM EDT, 10/01/2024 (MT Newswires) -- European equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were moving lower late Tuesday morning, declining 0.74% to 1,424.59 on the S&P Europe Select ADR Index. From continental Europe, the gainers were led by biopharmaceutical company DBV Technologies ( DBVT ) and oil and gas company TotalEnergies (TTE), which rose 1.4% and...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved