ORLANDO, Florida, May 13 (Reuters) - Investors shrugged
off a sharp rise in U.S. producer inflation and spike in bond
yields on Wednesday to push the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new highs,
as they awaited the U.S.-China summit in Beijing between
Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
In my column today, I look at how Trump's hand going into
the summit is weaker than it was the last time the two leaders
met in October, thanks to the Iran war and wave of inflation it
has unleashed.
If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I
recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets
today.
1. US producer prices surprise with largest increase in
four years
2. G7 long bond stress intensifies: Mike Dolan
3. Warsh clinches Senate approval to be Fed's next chair
as inflation intensifies
4. To dot or not? Warsh's first Fed rate projection
could out his views to the public - and Trump
5. Roundhill fund becomes fastest-growing ETF ever as
retail investors seek semiconductor exposure
Today's Key Market Moves
* STOCKS: Solid gains in Asia - KOSPI +3%, Japan +1%.
Europe +1%, UK +0.5%. Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.6%.
* SECTORS/SHARES: Six sectors in the S&P 500 rise, five
fall. Tech +1%, comms services +2.7%, energy -0.9%. Ford +13%,
Micron Technology +5%.
* FX: Dollar rises again, Brazil real -2%, biggest fall
this year, on govt fuel subsidies.
* BONDS: U.S. yields end little changed. 30-year U.S.
auction is weak - high yield paid, very low bid/cover.
* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil down, Brent -1.7%. Gold -0.5%.
Today's Talking Points
* PPIping hot
U.S. producer price inflation surged in April, notching the
biggest monthly and annual gains since 2022, and rising much
faster than analysts expected. If PPI is a precursor of CPI, the
signs are ominous - consumer inflation will soon be smashing
through the 4% barrier.
The difference between annual PPI and CPI inflation rates in
April jumped to 2.2 percentage points, the widest gap since
2022. The gap between the monthly measures was 0.8 percentage
point, matching the highest since 2010. Buckle up.
* Reaching the summit
The countdown to the Xi-Trump summit in Beijing is almost
over. The two leaders are expected to discuss Iran, Taiwan,
trade, energy and tech security, with expectations of major
breakthroughs on any of these issues being set pretty low.
Trump's entourage includes more than a dozen leading figures
from the business world, including Elon Musk, Apple CEO Tim Cook
and, at the last minute, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. Could this be
a sign of a potential agreement on Nvidia selling its powerful
H200 AI chips to customers in China?
* Confirmation
Kevin Warsh is chair of the Federal Reserve. He replaces
Jerome Powell, whose term ends on Friday but who will remain a
Fed governor. Fed Governor Stephen Miran, currently the central
bank's biggest advocate of rate cuts, will vacate his spot on
the board to make room for Warsh.
He has a job on his hands convincing his colleagues that
rates should be cut. Headline consumer and producer inflation is
the highest in years and rising, and some of the 'trimmed mean'
measures - favored by Warsh - are moving higher too.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* Developments in the Middle East
* Energy market moves
* U.S.-China summit in Beijing between Presidents Donald
Trump and Xi Jinping
* Japan earnings including Bridgestone, Honda and Rakuten
* Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu speaks
* Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill speaks
* UK trade (April)
* UK industrial production (March)
* UK GDP (Q1, prelim)
* U.S. weekly jobless claims
* U.S. retail sales (April)
* U.S. import prices (April)
* U.S. Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak include
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, Cleveland Fed
President Beth Hammack, New York Fed President John Williams and
Governor Michael Barr
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