(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a

columnist for Reuters.)

July 8 - TRADING DAY -

Making sense of the forces driving global markets

By Alden Bentley, Editor in Charge, Americas Finance and

Markets

Jamie is enjoying some well-deserved time off, but the

Reuters markets team will still keep you up to date on what

markets were focused on today and why they took a breather. I'd

love to hear from you so please feel free to reach out at

Today's Key Market Moves

* On Wall Street the S&P 500 and Nasdaq were

almost

flat

* U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly

* The dollar inched higher

* Crude oil rose

* Gold fell

Today's Key Reads

From 'fantastic' to 'spoiled': How Japan's trade effort to

woo Trump backfired

Gold ETFs drew largest inflow in five years during first

half of 2025, WGC say

In the Fed's hunt for a reason to cut rates, surveys and

tariffs make answers elusive

Investors put 'Liberation Day' lessons to work, scarred by

tariff tumult

Trump says steep copper tariffs in store as he broadens his

trade war

No tariff clarity, or market movement

Investors let the fluid tariff situation simmer on Tuesday,

sitting on their hands a day after knocking stock indexes back

from record highs as U.S. President Donald Trump warned that new

levies would hit a range of trading partners, including Japan

and Korea. While Wall Street was in sideways mode seemingly

fatigued by tariff headlines, the beaten down dollar posted the

second of back-to-back gains and Treasury yields ticked higher

for the fifth day running.

The new date to watch is August 1 with Trump showing

again his eagerness to allow time to reach deals by pushing back

the deadline, which had been Wednesday since he postponed

April's ill-received opening tariff gambit.

In the meantime the market will stay ready for surprising

turns from the White House and otherwise be waiting for economic

data, the Federal Reserve and other known unknowns to

incentivize trade. No major indicators are on the calendar this

week, and the only set pieces to look for Wednesday are the

auction of $39 billion of 10-year notes, the Treasury's

benchmark U.S. debt instrument, and the release of minutes from

the Fed's last meeting when they held the policy rate at

4.25%-4.5%, where it has been since December.

Futures show investors expect cuts beginning in September.

Last week, we saw the unemployment rate fell in June, while

inflation has ticked up, also the wrong direction for easing

soon.

The June transcript won't reveal policymakers in great

discord. They weren't very divided in their economic

projections, with 10 seeing several cuts this year and nine

effectively pushing easier monetary policy into 2026.

Powell has insisted that any cuts will depend on the data.

Meanwhile, the market will wait for the numbers and probably

take the minutes in stride too.

What could move markets tomorrow?

* US Treasury auctions $39 billion of 10-year Treasury notes

* Minutes from Federal Open Market Committee June meeting

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect

the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is

committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

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