ORLANDO, Florida, Feb 26 (Reuters) - A heavy selloff in
tech stocks pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq lower on Thursday
after investors' initial positive reaction to AI chipmaker
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) results was replaced by doubt and pessimism, while
safe-haven assets gold and Treasuries rose.
More on that below. In my column today I look at the
blistering rally in emerging market equities this year, led by
South Korea's astonishing 50% surge, and ponder when the pause
or correction comes. There's no way it can continue at this
pace, can it?
If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I
recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets
today.
1. Nvidia's ( NVDA ) CEO prepares investors for a renewed
battle
with Intel, AMD
2. IMF calls for U.S. fiscal consolidation to bring
down
"too big" current account deficit
3. To win Europe's embrace, China needs to uncap the
yuan:
Mike Dolan
4. Rare earth shortages worsen in U.S. aerospace,
chips
despite trade truce, sources say
5. Japan's Takaichi gets her doves in a row with BOJ
board
appointees
Today's Key Market Moves
* STOCKS: Nasdaq -1.3%, S&P 500 -0.5%. Dow and
Russell
2000 in the green. New highs overnight for Japan, Taiwan, South
Korea, UK, and MSCI EM and Asia ex-Japan benchmark indices.
* SECTORS/SHARES: Seven of S&P 500's 11 sectors
fall, tech
-1.8%. Philadelphia semiconductor index -3%, Nvidia ( NVDA ) -5.5%.
Financials +1.3%, Paramount Skydance +10%.
* FX: Dollar index ends flat. Sterling biggest G10
decliner, most EM FX falls. Big exception is China's yuan -
onshore and offshore CNY highest in nearly three years, onshore
CNY on longest winning streak since 2010.
* BONDS: U.S. yields fall 3-4 bps, 7-year auction is
ok.
30-year U.S. mortgage rates below 6% for first time since
September 2022. UK 10-yr gilt yield lowest since Dec 2024.
* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil and gold slip a bit, with
all
eyes on U.S.-Iran talks, Comex copper has 3-week closing high.
Today's Talking Points
* Tech's sentiment seesaw in full swing
Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares spiked 4% in after-hours trade on Wednesday
immediately after Q4 results showed a solid sales beat and
forecast-busting outlook. But that's evidently not enough, and
shares sank 5.5% on Thursday, the biggest fall since April and
wiping $260 billion off the company's value.
The last 24 hours show how skittish the market is around AI
and whether its disruptive force will be for good or ill. More
pressing, will AI deliver the returns investors expect from the
huge capex underway across the sector? Views on that seem to
change from day to day.
* Summer Fed cut hopes fade
As debate swirls around Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh's
dovish or hawkish tendencies, recent moves in interest rate
futures markets bear watching - the next fully-priced quarter
percentage point rate cut is being pushed back to September.
Presuming Warsh is confirmed by lawmakers and succeeds
Jerome Powell in May as planned, that implies the Fed won't be
easing until his third policy meeting as Chair. With core PCE
inflation at 3%, this pause seems reasonable. President Donald
Trump, looking to November's potentially tricky midterm
elections, might not be so understanding.
* U.S. mortgage "relief"
Any frustration Trump may feel about sticky interest rates
could be offset by more encouraging signals from the housing
market - average 30-year mortgage rates are now below 6% for the
first time since September 2022.
Psychologically, the break into 5% territory could be
significant for would-be homeowners, and if sustained, could
help ease the affordability crisis ahead of the midterm
elections. That said, borrowing to buy a house is still
expensive - some 70% of all existing mortgages are at rates
below 5%.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* Japan Tokyo CPI inflation (February)
* Japan industrial production (January, prelim)
* India GDP (Q3)
* Germany unemployment (February)
* Germany CPI inflation (February)
* Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill speaks
* Canada GDP (Q4)
* U.S. producer price inflation (January)
* U.S. Chicago PMI (February)
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