NEW YORK, July 1 (Reuters) - U.S. and world stocks embarked
on a new month and quarter with little conviction, as tech
shares in general and chip stocks in particular weighed on Wall
Street. Meanwhile, remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin
Warsh that inflation risks have eased boosted gold and helped
the dollar pare earlier gains.
I will go into more detail on today's market moves below. If
you have more time to read, here are a few articles I recommend
to help you make sense of what happened in markets today.
1. U.S. factory activity decelerates in June, prices paid
component falls but remains elevated
2. U.S. private payrolls growth fall shy of estimates,
announced layoffs decline
3. Euro zone manufacturing output wraps up best quarter
since 2022, war-related cost pressures ease
4. German banks reject ECB's potential move to double
required minimum reserves
5. The Trump administration declines to extend the U.S.
trade agreement with Mexico and Canada, starting a 10-year
process to reshape the deal before it expires
Today's Key Market Moves
* STOCKS: U.S. stocks dip in choppy trade, Europe's STOXX
dips
* SECTORS/SHARES: Chips drop 6.3%; Meta surges after
Bloomberg reports company is building a cloud business to sell
excess AI computing capacity
* FX: Dollar's gains fade as Warsh softens inflation
rhetoric; yen rebounds from 40-year low
* BONDS: Benchmark Treasury yields pare gains following
Warsh remarks
* COMMODITIES/METALS: WTI and Brent crude prices settle down
1.3% and 1.4%, respectively; gold jumps
Today's Talking Points
* U.S. President Donald Trump reports over $1.4 billion in
income from his family's crypto business last year
Trump's annual disclosure for 2025 with the U.S. Office of
Government Ethics showed how he now derives most of his income
from digital assets that have benefited from his policies.
The filings reveal almost $800 million from World Liberty
Financial, a crypto venture he and his sons co-founded, and
another $635 million from the sale of his Trump meme coins.
* Warsh makes his international debut as Chair of the U.S.
Federal Reserve
In his appearance at the European Central Bank Forum in
Sintra, Portugal, Warsh asserted the central bank's independence
but declined, along with his fellow central bankers, to say much
about the economy or the future trajectory of interest rates.
Warsh added that he hoped the Fed will shift its focus to
real-time data for monetary policy decisions, and rely less on
backward-looking government surveys.
* The U.S. and Iran hold technical talks in Doha with focus on
the Strait of Hormuz
The talks are focused on resuming the flow of traffic
through the crucial waterway, releasing frozen Iranian assets,
and securing a lasting ceasefire based on a 14-point interim
accord signed last month, which set up a 60-day period of
negotiations toward a permanent peace deal.
There have been few signs of progress on more complex issues
following tit-for-tat airstrikes that have threatened the
fragile truce.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* U.S. payrolls report (June)
* U.S. factory orders (May)
* Developments in the Middle East
* Energy market moves
* Social media posts from Trump
* Euro zone unemployment rate (May)
* Switzerland CPI (June)
* France budget balance (May)
* China, Japan, Australia, Ireland services PMI (June)
* Fed members scheduled to speak include New York Fed
President John Williams, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly,
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan
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