ORLANDO, Florida, June 9 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks mostly fell
on Tuesday, pressured by a slide in tech and fresh Iran jitters
after a U.S. helicopter was shot down, as investors digested
strong trade figures from many key economies and turned their
attention to U.S. inflation data on Wednesday.
In my column today, I look at the U.S. Treasury's increased
use of T-bills to fund the federal budget deficit. Bill issuance
is now averaging over $500 billion a week - not an immediate
problem, but it could become one if interest rates continue
rising or the government is forced to increase supply.
If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I
recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets
today.
1. Trump says Iran downed Apache helicopter, U.S. must react
2. OpenAI files for U.S. IPO after Anthropic as AI giants
head to public markets
3. Short-sellers to tread carefully as Musk's SpaceX debuts
4. Automatic for the people? AI as public utility: Mike
Dolan
5. SPECIAL REPORT-Under the Trump crypto playbook, the
family always wins. Investors don't
Today's Key Market Moves
* STOCKS: Asia mostly up; South Korea +9%, China +3%, Japan
+2%. Europe, UK down. S&P 500 -0.3%, Nasdaq -1%. Peru +4%
* SECTORS/SHARES: Nine of S&P 500's 11 sectors rise, with
real estate +2%. Tech -2%, energy -1.6%. Super Micro Computer
-8%, Qualcomm -6%, Dell -5%. "SOX" chip index -2%. Home Depot
+4%.
* FX: USD/JPY still well in the "intervention zone" above
160. Peru's sol +2%, best day in five years; Indonesia's rupiah
has biggest rise since September.
* BONDS: U.S. yields -3 bps at short end. 3-year auction has
a historically high tail but draws decent demand.
* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil -3% to a 7-week low, gold -2%.
Today's Talking Points
* Morningstar, man
Morningstar analysts' SpaceX valuation is generating a lot
of debate - $63 per share, a 53% discount to the upcoming IPO's
offer price. They say they arrived at it via number-crunching in
three scenarios rather than plain old skepticism.
In their "moonshot" scenario, SpaceX is worth $1.97
trillion, or $154 a share. That would be 14% above the IPO
price, but they attach only a 7% probability to this scenario.
Either way, the firm's market debut on Friday will be
fascinating - sources say IPO demand is almost four times
oversubscribed.
* Emergency hike
Indonesia's central bank stunned markets on Tuesday,
delivering an unexpected emergency interest rate hike. Bank
Indonesia raised its policy rate 25 basis points to 5.25% in an
effort to stabilize the rupiah after it hit a succession of
record lows.
This reflects the pressure many emerging markets are under
from soaring energy import bills and depreciating domestic
currencies, especially in Asia. Sri Lanka recently hiked 100
bps, now Indonesia's inter-meeting move. Who will be next?
* Inflation nations
Key inflation readings for May from some of the world's
largest economies will be released on Wednesday, giving
investors and policymakers the most up-to-date insight into how
much the global energy shock is biting consumers and businesses.
Annual U.S. CPI inflation is expected to cross the 4% mark
and wholesale inflation in Japan is expected to hit 5.5%, both
for the first time in three years, while PPI inflation in China
is seen rising a full percentage point to just under 4%. If the
risks to these forecasts are pointing one way, it's probably up.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* Developments in the Middle East
* Japan wholesale inflation (May)
* China PPI and CPI inflation (May)
* Canada interest rate decision
* U.S. Cleveland Fed median inflation (May)
* U.S. CPI inflation (May)
* U.S. Treasury sells $39 billion of 10-year notes at
auction
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