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TRADING DAY-Who needs tech?
Jun 4, 2026 2:28 PM

ORLANDO, Florida, June 4 (Reuters) - Investors on

Thursday latched onto the more encouraging aspects of mixed

signals surrounding an end to war in the Middle East, pushing

stocks higher and oil prices lower. Worries over AI weighed on

tech, but other sectors did the heavy lifting, as attention now

turns to U.S. employment data on Friday.

In my column today, I look at the U.S. labor market ahead of

payrolls. It can hardly be characterized as strong, and some

incoming numbers are warning flags. But overall, the data are

pointing upward, suggesting a corner has been turned.

If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I

recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets

today.

1. Fed's Warsh inherits economy increasingly squeezed by

inflation

2. First goes the Fed dot, then guidance - and then a

hike?: Mike Dolan

3. Europe's tech 'liberation day'? Computer says not yet

4. Redemption requests rise at Blackstone, Partners

Group as private markets strain

5. China to cut domestic retail gasoline, diesel prices

from June 5

Today's Key Market Moves

* STOCKS: Dow, Russell 2000 hit record highs. Asia

lower, Europe higher, Brazil -2%.

* SECTORS/SHARES: Only two sectors in the S&P 500 fall:

tech -1.4%, consumer staples -0.1%. Nine rise, led by financials

+2.7%, healthcare +3%. Blackstone +7.5%, Humana +6.8%; Broadcom

-12.6%, Micron Technology -7.7%.

* FX: Dollar dips a bit, USD/JPY hugs 160.00. Bitcoin

-2% to 4-month low

* BONDS: U.S. yields down 2-4 bps, curve steepens:

2s/10s up from Tuesday's 40 bps, flattest since "Liberation

Day".

* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil -3%.

Today's Talking Points

* Calm and resilient

Wall Street's performance on Thursday was noteworthy. After

opening down more than 1%, the Nasdaq closed flat, and the S&P

500 also posted a percentage point low-to-close rebound. The Dow

didn't bother with the turnaround - it just rose, put on the

afterburners, and closed up 1.7% at a new high.

Investors are buying any dip, almost regardless of the

geopolitical, AI or macro news flow. And why not? Financial

conditions are the loosest in years, and the VIX is around its

lowest levels of the year. Zoom out, and 3-month euro/dollar

implied vol's dip below 5% this week for the first time since

2021 shows how serene markets are. At least on the surface.

* Private chancer

Negative headlines in private credit space are surfacing

again. Investors in Blackstone's flagship $79 billion private

credit fund sought to pull out 10% of shares in Q2, up from 7.9%

in Q1. Blackstone, the world's largest alternative asset

manager, capped withdrawals at 5%.

Cliffwater said on Tuesday that investors in its $31 billion

private credit fund tried to redeem 17% of shares in Q2, but

they were also capped at 5%. There have been plenty of similar

examples in recent months, and there are likely to be plenty

more.

* Bit-part player

Bitcoin hit a 4-month low on Thursday around $61,000. It has

lost half its value since peaking above $126,000 in October, and

is down 20% in the past two weeks. The move has snowballed after

Michael Saylor's Strategy, the largest corporate holder of

bitcoin, said it has sold for the first time since 2022.

But some bulls are not losing faith. Geoff Kendrick at

Standard Chartered, one of the most vocal crypto advocates, is

sticking with his call of $100,000 by the end of the year. "When

we look back at the end of 2026 with bitcoin at $100k we will

say this was the buying zone we all wanted," he writes. Watch

this space.

What could move markets tomorrow?

* Developments in the Middle East

* Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Anna Breman speaks

* Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock

testifies to Senate committee; Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser

speaks at separate event

* Japan household spending (April)

* Taiwan inflation (May)

* South Korea current account (April)

* India interest rate decision

* India GDP (Q1)

* Euro zone GDP (Q1, revised)

* Bank of England officials scheduled to speak include

Governor Andrew Bailey, Swati Dhingra

* Canada PMIs (May)

* Canada employment (May)

* U.S. nonfarm payrolls (May)

Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday

morning? Sign up for my newsletter here.

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not

reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust

Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom

from bias.

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