ORLANDO, Florida, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Global bond yields
rose and stocks fell on Monday after Bank of Japan Governor
Kazuo Ueda hinted that interest rates may rise later this month,
cooling investor optimism around an expected U.S. rate cut and
getting December trading off to a rocky start.
If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I
recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets
today.
1. Flurry of Fed dissents in coming meetings could
pose
market, political risks
2. Hassett may be 'shadow Fed Chair' for five
months: Mike
Dolan
3. BOJ to consider rate hike in December, governor
says;
yen, yields rise
4. China export controls push European firms to move
supply
chains
5. Blue Owl's teachable moment for investors and
asset
managers chasing yield and 'hot money'
Today's Key Market Moves
* STOCKS: Most major markets fall, except China/Hong
Kong.
Japan's Nikkei -2%, Germany's DAX -1%, Dow -0.9%.
* SECTORS/SHARES: U.S. utilities -2.3%, healthcare
-1.5%,
energy +1%. Moderna ( MRNA ) -7%, Coinbase -5%, Strategy -3% (Strategy is
down nearly 60% in just two months).
* FX: Dollar index at 2-week low, USD/JPY has
biggest fall
since Oct 10 but recovers some ground. Bitcoin tumbles 7% below
$85,000.
* BONDS: JGB yields surge to new historic highs.
U.S.
Treasury yields up 8 bps at long end, curve bear steepens.
* COMMODITIES/METALS: Silver leaps to new high of
$58.83/oz. Oil +1% on Ukraine, Venezuela, OPEC.
Today's Talking Points
* Japan's Ueda scares the horses
A heavy wave of equity and bond selling in Japan rippled
through global markets on Monday, as investors braced for a Bank
of Japan rate hike on December 19. Interestingly though, for
once the spike in JGB yields lifted the yen. Has the Japanese
currency bottomed?
The prospect of an imminent rate hike intensifies the
spotlight on JGBs, how much longer Japan's consumers and
businesses can tolerate surging yields, and the fiscal-monetary
policy nexus. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's planned fiscal
stimulus may not be accompanied by her preferred monetary
accommodation after all.
* High-ho, silver lining
The latest run-up in silver means the metal has now
doubled in price so far this year. Silver hit a record high of
$58.83 an ounce on Monday, up 104% from the $28.87 close on
December 31. It is up as much as 20% in the last week alone.
Tight supply, the prospect of more Fed easing, investor
diversification, and bullish momentum have all fueled the surge.
Silver has shown remarkable resilience in recent weeks,
consolidating and even strengthening when gold, stocks, crypto
and other assets have retreated to varying degrees.
* Global manufacturing down in the dumps
Global growth may be holding up ok, but tariffs and trade
tensions are taking their toll on manufacturing - the latest
purchasing managers' index (PMI) figures show activity in the
United States, euro zone, China and Japan contracted last month.
Factory activity in the U.S. has now shrunk nine months in a
row, suggesting that President Donald Trump's plans to onshore
and ultimately revive U.S. industry have yet to bear fruit.
There are some bright spots - notably Britain and Italy - but
overall it's a fairly gloomy picture.
What could move markets tomorrow?
* Japan consumer confidence (November)
* South Korea inflation (November)
* Euro zone inflation (November, flash)
* Euro zone unemployment (October)
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