LONDON, Feb 13 (Reuters) - Short-term investor
expectations for U.S. inflation hit their highest since 2022 on
Thursday, following a hot read of consumer prices the day before
that put nominal Treasuries under pressure.
The two-year breakeven inflation rate,
which is derived from subtracting the inflation-linked two-year
Treasury yield from that of the nominal two-year note
, rose to as high as 3.338% in London trade, its
highest since the summer of 2022, before subsiding to around
3.16%.
This is well beyond the Federal Reserve's 2% target for
consumer inflation.
U.S. data on Wednesday showed the consumer price index rose
at an annual rate of 3.0% in January, up from 2.9% in December
and above forecasts for a rise of 2.9% year-on-year.
Energy, food and shelter prices all contributed to the
increase. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, also
rose by more than expected.
By Thursday in Europe, two-year Treasuries were down 2 basis
points on the day at 4.342%, having shot up by nearly 10 bps on
Wednesday in their biggest one-day selloff in a month.
Following the CPI data, the futures market was barely
pricing in one 25-bps rate cut this year from the Federal
Reserve this year, compared with around 35 bps worth of cuts
prior to the report.
U.S. President Donald Trump is on the verge of announcing
another round of tariffs, which many believe will contribute to
a sustained rise in inflation, as the price of imports
increases.