LONDON, March 5 (Reuters) - Ukraine's international
bonds rallied on Wednesday in volatile European morning trade
after U.S. President Donald Trump said Kyiv was ready to
negotiate over the war with Russia.
The country's bonds have whipsawed in recent days,
responding to Trump's statements and actions, including his
freezing of U.S. military assistance, as he seeks an end to the
war begun by Russia's full-scale invasion just over three years
ago.
The 2035 maturity rallied by more than 1.70 cents before
retracing to be bid at 62.18 cents on the dollar, 0.88 cents
higher - with other maturities making similar gains.
The bonds returned over 60% in 2024 when Trump was elected
to return to the White House, which investors attributed to his
promises of a quick end to the conflict.
But his administration's decision to hold peace talks with
Russian officials without Ukraine present - and his explosive
Oval office meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy
on Friday - tested that optimism and drove bonds lower.
The bonds that will pay out more if future economic
performance outpaces expectations have led both the gains and
the losses. The 2035 maturity, while trading 7 cents below its
February 14 peak, remains more than 14 cents above the level
just before Trump's election victory last year.
Goldman Sachs calculations showed that market expectations
for a strong rise in Ukrainian economic growth, which would
require an end to the war, had declined by 10 percentage points
since Friday. Based on the pricing of Ukraine's GDP-linked bond
versus other instruments, the bank said the market was still
pricing at least 40% odds of a peace deal.