LONDON, July 22 (Reuters) - Ukraine's bond prices jumped
on Monday after the government struck a preliminary deal to
restructure roughly $20 billion of the country's debt with a
core group of its bondholders.
The agreement, which should enable the nation to cut the
face value of its debt by more than a third, was more favourable
than many analysts had expected and sent Ukraine's bonds up
almost 15%, in their biggest single-day move in years.
One bond that provides additional payments when the
country's economy grows leapt nearly 7 cents
to almost 57 cents in the dollar. Others climbed to between 31
and 37 cents, having been in the mid-to-high teens early last
year..
If the deal goes through as expected, it will ensure Ukraine
avoids what could have been a messy default next month that
would have complicated a difficult situation as its war with
Russia continues.
Monday's proposal would see a 37% nominal write-down, or
"haircut", on Ukraine's international bonds, saving Kyiv $11.4
billion in payments over the next three years - the duration of
its current International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme.
In return, bondholders will receive bonds worth 40 cents of
their original claim. These will restore interest payments
immediately, and the rate will start at 1.75% before rising to
4.5% from 2026, 6% from 2027 and 7.75% from 2034 onwards.
They will also receive a bond worth 23 cents, which will not
pay interest until August 2027, but could increase to 35 cents
if Ukraine's economy outperforms IMF targets by at least 3% come
2028.
"Overall bondholders have been treated quite well," Viktor
Szabo, an emerging market portfolio manager at abdrn in London,
said.
He said the deal had shown flexibility and that the
valuation was closer to an initial proposal put forward by
bondholders' last month than the government's original offer.
"It will also be by far the fastest restructuring we have
ever seen and are probably ever going to see," Szabo added,
although it comes with a caveat that another might be needed
unless the war with Russia ends.
The deal also boosted a bond of Ukrainian state-owned power
company, Ukrenergo, which is guaranteed by the Ukrainian
sovereign. It jumped over 6 cents to around 45
cents on the dollar according to Tradeweb prices.
Others, however, belonging to state energy company Naftogaz,
which were restructured last year, rose a far more modest 0.7
cents to just over 76 cents as the firm's CEO Oleksiy Chernyshov
said another restructuring might be considered for its 2026 debt
payments.