financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US dollar at risk if Trump can sway Fed to more dovish stance, says PGIM exec
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US dollar at risk if Trump can sway Fed to more dovish stance, says PGIM exec
Sep 28, 2025 8:06 PM

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The risk that pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump could shift the Federal Reserve to an overly dovish stance is the main near-term concern for the U.S. dollar, said a senior executive at U.S. asset manager PGIM Fixed Income.

Trump has relentlessly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors for not lowering rates sufficiently. This has investors concerned that political pressure could influence monetary policy. 

The dollar is already down about 9.5% this year against a basket of major currencies. 

Trump's attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, and the appointment of his economic adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed's seven-member board, have recently exacerbated worries that the Fed could ease too aggressively and let inflation off the leash.       

"We do worry quite a bit about an abruptly dovish shift in the Fed's reaction function going into next year," said Daleep Singh, vice chair and chief global economist at PGIM Fixed Income, a New Jersey-based firm with nearly $900 billion in assets under management. He was speaking at a dollar conference at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

While the U.S. central bank, which last week cut rates for the first time since December, is expected to continue to lower borrowing costs gradually over the coming months, the picture could change after Powell's mandate as Fed Chair ends in May next year, said Singh, who previously served as deputy national security advisor for international economics in the Joe Biden administration.

"There's a very decent chance that the FOMC looks and acts quite differently," he said.

Easy monetary policy, along loose fiscal policy and upward pressures on inflation, would be negative for the dollar, he said, particularly given that central banks in other major economies are at different stages of their monetary policy cycles and are unlikely to mimic the Fed's dovish shift.

"On a cyclical basis, I think the risks to the dollar are skewed to the downside," he added.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US producer prices rise slightly above expectations in August
US producer prices rise slightly above expectations in August
Sep 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices increased slightly more than expected in August amid higher costs for services, but the trend remained consistent with subsiding inflation. The producer price index for final demand rose 0.2% last month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Thursday. Data for July was revised lower to show the PPI being unchanged instead...
US weekly jobless claims rise moderately
US weekly jobless claims rise moderately
Sep 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased marginally last week, pointing to a still-low level of layoffs even as the labor market slows. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 230,000 for the week ended Sept. 7, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had...
Analysis-Details of new US bank capital rules still uncertain with election looming
Analysis-Details of new US bank capital rules still uncertain with election looming
Sep 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. bank investors, analysts and executives were trying to figure out on Wednesday how lenders would fare under revised hikes in capital requirements, with considerable uncertainty over what specifics will emerge from the Federal Reserve and other regulators, and the presidential election a looming wild card. The Fed's regulatory chief Michael Barr on Tuesday outlined a plan...
US Treasury reports $380 billion August budget deficit
US Treasury reports $380 billion August budget deficit
Sep 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury on Thursday reported a $380 billion federal budget deficit for August, a massive shift from the $89 billion surplus in August 2023 that resulted from the reversal of President Joe Biden's student loan forgiveness program. The deficit for the first 11 months of the 2024 fiscal year reached $1.897 trillion, a 24% increase from...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved