financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US dollar at risk if Trump can sway Fed to more dovish stance, says PGIM exec
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US dollar at risk if Trump can sway Fed to more dovish stance, says PGIM exec
Sep 28, 2025 8:06 PM

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The risk that pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump could shift the Federal Reserve to an overly dovish stance is the main near-term concern for the U.S. dollar, said a senior executive at U.S. asset manager PGIM Fixed Income.

Trump has relentlessly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors for not lowering rates sufficiently. This has investors concerned that political pressure could influence monetary policy. 

The dollar is already down about 9.5% this year against a basket of major currencies. 

Trump's attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, and the appointment of his economic adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed's seven-member board, have recently exacerbated worries that the Fed could ease too aggressively and let inflation off the leash.       

"We do worry quite a bit about an abruptly dovish shift in the Fed's reaction function going into next year," said Daleep Singh, vice chair and chief global economist at PGIM Fixed Income, a New Jersey-based firm with nearly $900 billion in assets under management. He was speaking at a dollar conference at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

While the U.S. central bank, which last week cut rates for the first time since December, is expected to continue to lower borrowing costs gradually over the coming months, the picture could change after Powell's mandate as Fed Chair ends in May next year, said Singh, who previously served as deputy national security advisor for international economics in the Joe Biden administration.

"There's a very decent chance that the FOMC looks and acts quite differently," he said.

Easy monetary policy, along loose fiscal policy and upward pressures on inflation, would be negative for the dollar, he said, particularly given that central banks in other major economies are at different stages of their monetary policy cycles and are unlikely to mimic the Fed's dovish shift.

"On a cyclical basis, I think the risks to the dollar are skewed to the downside," he added.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage falls to 6.09%
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage falls to 6.09%
Sep 19, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in more than 1-1/2 years this week and could fall further after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 6.09%, the lowest since February 2023, from 6.20% last week, mortgage finance agency Freddie...
Ex-Kansas City Fed chief sees renewed inflation risk after large rate cut
Ex-Kansas City Fed chief sees renewed inflation risk after large rate cut
Sep 20, 2024
(Reuters) - The U.S. central bank's decision to cut interest rates by half a percentage point leaves open the risk of a resurgence in inflation, a former Kansas City Federal Reserve president said on Thursday. They are gambling that they have inflation under control, Thomas Hoenig told the Reuters Global Markets Forum. They have turned their attention to maintaining employment,...
Biden to hail economic progress after Fed rate cut but avoid victory lap, aides say
Biden to hail economic progress after Fed rate cut but avoid victory lap, aides say
Sep 19, 2024
By Andrea Shalal WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. President Joe Biden will tout progress in bringing down inflation and boosting employment on Thursday, a day after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, while vowing to keep working to lower costs for American families, key aides said. Biden will use an Economic Club of Washington event to summarize how well the U.S. responded...
US existing home sales drop in August; supply improves
US existing home sales drop in August; supply improves
Sep 19, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. existing home sales fell more than expected in August as house prices remained elevated despite a continued improvement in supply. Home sales fell 2.5% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.86 million units, the National Association of Realtors said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast home resales falling to a rate...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved