financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
US funding rate spike could signal 'quirk' in its calculation, says Deutsche Bank
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US funding rate spike could signal 'quirk' in its calculation, says Deutsche Bank
Sep 23, 2024 12:48 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A recent jump in a key U.S. overnight funding rate could be the result of a peculiarity in the way it is calculated, rather than a signal of low liquidity, said Deutsche Bank.

The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), a measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by Treasury securities, jumped to 5.38% on Monday, its highest since the end of July, New York Federal Reserve data released on Tuesday showed. The rate remained at the same level on Tuesday.

The rate is a key measure of the borrowing costs on loans between banks and other participants in the U.S. repurchase agreement (repo) market. A spike in repos can indicate that cash is getting scarce in a key funding market for Wall Street.

But this time around the increase could have been driven by "a quirk in SOFR's calculation methodology," Deutsche Bank said in a note on Tuesday, as an analysis of the data compounding the SOFR rate reveals little evidence of the funding pressures seen in 2019, when short-term funding costs spiked, forcing the Federal Reserve to inject liquidity into repo markets.

"The increase in SOFR yesterday did not lead to broader funding market pressure and likely has no implications for reserve conditions or quantitative tightening," the Deutsche Bank analysts said. Quantitative tightening is the Federal Reserve's program to reduce the size of its balance sheet.

SOFR is calculated by the New York Fed as the volume-weighted median rate of transactions in three markets for repos. The calculation excludes lower rates from transactions of so-called "specials" that are cleared through the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation's Delivery-versus-Payment (DVP) repo service.

Special repos are securities that have high demand, prompting potential buyers to offer cheap cash in exchange.

DVP repo transactions with rates below the 25th volume-weighted percentile rate are removed from the distribution of repo data.

"Consequently, where this 25th percentile rate falls matters, and it could have a disproportional impact on the actual SOFR fixing," said the analysts at Deutsche.

In their note, the analysts propose a scenario where the shift of one out of 100 hypothetical repo transactions to a slightly higher rate, which happens to be the 25th percentile rate, causes a larger portion of the sample of transactions to be excluded in the final calculation of SOFR.

"This small change leads to a significant jump in the new calculated median rate," they said.

In July, the New York Fed requested public comments to proposed changes to the SOFR calculation methodology, which are set to be implemented early next year. The changes would reduce the impact of rate distribution on the final SOFR calculation.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday opened a Fed Listens event on how Americans are experiencing the economy, saying the pandemic has had lasting effects and that to make good policy the U.S. central bank cannot rely only on macroeconomic data but needs to hear directly from people and businesses. He did not make any remarks about the...
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
Mar 22, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of a series of appearances by Federal Reserve officials that compensate for a lack of major US data. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to make opening remarks at a Fed Listens conference at...
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
Mar 22, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic-majority Senate on Friday will scramble to beat a midnight government shutdown deadline by passing a $1.2 trillion bill keeping the government funded through September. If they succeed, it will end a more-than-six-month battle over the scope of Washington's spending for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. If they...
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said. A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved