financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Dollar Rises Early Thursday Ahead of Jobless Claims, Personal Income, Spending, PCE Prices
US Dollar Rises Early Thursday Ahead of Jobless Claims, Personal Income, Spending, PCE Prices
Mar 4, 2024
07:48 AM EST, 02/29/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Thursday, except for a sharp decline against the yen, before the release of weekly jobless claims and personal income, spending, and prices data for January, all at 8:30 am ET. The Chicago purchasing managers' index for February is set to be released at...
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Matches Expectations, Personal Income Soars: Thursday's Economic Digest
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Matches Expectations, Personal Income Soars: Thursday's Economic Digest
Mar 4, 2024
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation – the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index – matched expectations in January, underscoring progress on the path to the 2% inflation target. Ahead of the release, traders had been leaning toward the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by the end of the first half of 2024. January’s PCE Report: Key Highlights...
Fed's Go-To Inflation Gauge Hits The Mark, Personal Income Surges In January
Fed's Go-To Inflation Gauge Hits The Mark, Personal Income Surges In January
Mar 4, 2024
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation – the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index – matched expectations in January, underscoring progress in the path to the 2% inflation target. Ahead of the release, traders had been leaning towards the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by the end of the first half. January’s PCE Report: Key Highlights MeasureDecember 2023January...
Analysis-Fed's balance sheet endgame may play out over a longer-than-expected horizon
Analysis-Fed's balance sheet endgame may play out over a longer-than-expected horizon
Mar 4, 2024
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials are keen to start debating their balance sheet run-down endgame, but benign market conditions, recent central banker comments and bond dealer estimates now suggest the process may run longer than previously thought. One factor driving the rethink is a puzzling bout of better-than-expected liquidity conditions in U.S. short-term financing markets that has for...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved