financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Under fire, Trump contends economic policies won't boost federal debt
Under fire, Trump contends economic policies won't boost federal debt
Oct 17, 2024
* Trump eyes high tariffs on imports from allies and rivals * Analysts say Trump plans could add $7.5 trillion to federal debt by 2035 * Trump backs away from suggesting control over Federal Reserve (Adds Trump comments on tax cuts from Fox town hall in paragraphs 6-7) By James Oliphant Oct 15 (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump...
Fed's Bostic says his 'dot' was for 25 bp more in cuts in 2024
Fed's Bostic says his 'dot' was for 25 bp more in cuts in 2024
Oct 17, 2024
(Reuters) - Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Tuesday said he penciled in just one more interest rate reduction of 25 basis points this year when he updated his projections for last month's U.S. central bank meeting. The median was for ... 50 basis points more, above and beyond the 50 basis points that was done in September. My...
Trump says president should weigh in on, but not order, Fed rate decisions
Trump says president should weigh in on, but not order, Fed rate decisions
Oct 17, 2024
CHICAGO (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump on Tuesday appeared to soften his position on inserting himself into Federal Reserve policy decisions, saying he believes he would have a right as president to tell the Fed what he thought it should do about interest rates - but he would not order a move. I think I have the...
Fed's Bostic Projects Just A Single Rate Cut By January — One And Done, For Real?
Fed's Bostic Projects Just A Single Rate Cut By January — One And Done, For Real?
Oct 17, 2024
Raphael Bostic, the President of the Atlanta Federal Reserve, has projected only one more interest rate cut this year. What Happened: Bostic revealed his projection at an event in Atlanta, stating that he anticipates a single additional interest rate reduction of 25 basis points for the remainder of the year. This is a deviation from the median projection of 50...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved