financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Japan could lose $17 billion in car exports due to US tariffs, says UN trade agency
Japan could lose $17 billion in car exports due to US tariffs, says UN trade agency
Apr 4, 2025
GENEVA (Reuters) - Japan could lose $17 billion in car export potential in the U.S. following President Donald Trump's decision to introduce 25% tariffs on the automotive sector, the International Trade Centre said on Friday. Japan's automotive sector comprises 20% of the country's total exports and the majority of exports are headed to the U.S. market. Now the flat 25%...
US Dollar Falls Early Friday Ahead of Employment Report, Powell
US Dollar Falls Early Friday Ahead of Employment Report, Powell
Apr 4, 2025
07:43 AM EDT, 04/04/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a gain versus the pound, before the release of the March employment report at 8:30 am ET and an appearance by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at 11:25 am ET. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 140,000 after a...
US job growth beats expectations in March
US job growth beats expectations in March
Apr 4, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. economy added far more jobs than expected in March, but President Donald Trump's sweeping import tariffs could test the labor market's resilience in the months ahead amid sagging business confidence and a stock market selloff. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 228,000 jobs last month after a downwardly revised 117,000 rise in February, the Labor Department said...
Ratings agency S&P to review all global forecasts after US tariff shock
Ratings agency S&P to review all global forecasts after US tariff shock
Apr 4, 2025
LONDON (Reuters) - Credit ratings giant S&P Global has said it is reviewing all its macro economic forecasts in the wake of Donald Trump's sweeping world trade tariffs this week, a move likely to fuel concerns of a renewed wave of credit score downgrades. The firm, whose ratings judge the creditworthiness of thousands of companies and more than 130 countries,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved