financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed leaning toward more rate cuts amid uncertainty, Barkin says
Fed leaning toward more rate cuts amid uncertainty, Barkin says
Feb 5, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve is still leaning towards further rate cuts this year although uncertainty about the impact of new tariff, immigration, regulatory and other Trump administration initiatives will need to be better understood, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin said Wednesday. Along with tariffs, there is deregulation - where is it going to hit - immigration, energy...
More crowded US dollar trade ramps up expectations for euro parity: Reuters poll
More crowded US dollar trade ramps up expectations for euro parity: Reuters poll
Feb 5, 2025
By Sarupya Ganguly BENGALURU (Reuters) - A crowded strong U.S. dollar trade is set to get more bunched up in coming months, with near one-third of currency strategists polled by Reuters now expecting the euro to fall to parity with the dollar or below versus only one-fifth last month. The greenback has been on a rampage since late September, soaring...
US Dollar Falls Early Wednesday Ahead of ADP, Refunding, Services Data, Fed Appearances
US Dollar Falls Early Wednesday Ahead of ADP, Refunding, Services Data, Fed Appearances
Feb 5, 2025
07:46 AM EST, 02/05/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Wednesday before another busy day of economic data releases and appearances by Federal Reserve officials. ADP's private payrolls data for January are scheduled to be released at 8:15 am ET, followed by international trade data for December and the Treasury's quarterly refunding, both...
Morgan Stanley revises Fed rate cut forecast amid tariff uncertainty
Morgan Stanley revises Fed rate cut forecast amid tariff uncertainty
Feb 5, 2025
(Reuters) - Morgan Stanley joined Barclays and Macquarie in forecasting a single 25 basis point interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve this year, citing uncertainty from President Donald Trump's tariff policy. The Wall Street brokerage had previously said it expected two 25 bps rate cuts in March and June. Peers Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo continue to expect...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved