financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed's Mester still sees rate cuts later this year
Fed's Mester still sees rate cuts later this year
Mar 7, 2024
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester reiterated on Thursday that she believes the central bank will be able to lower interest rates this year, but she noted there is no urgency to act right yet. Fed interest rate policy is in a good place to take stock of the economy's performance and the central bank has...
'Housing Market In A Very Difficult Situation,' Fed Chair Powell Tells Senate Committee
'Housing Market In A Very Difficult Situation,' Fed Chair Powell Tells Senate Committee
Mar 7, 2024
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell returned to Capitol Hill on Thursday for his second day of testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. Powell’s remarks underscored the Fed’s positive outlook on the economic trajectory, highlighting “continued strong growth, a strong labor market, and continuing progress in bringing inflation down.” He emphasized that, should the economy follow this anticipated path, the Federal...
Weekly jobless claims unchanged; trade deficit widens in January
Weekly jobless claims unchanged; trade deficit widens in January
Mar 7, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits was unchanged last week as the labor market continued to gradually ease, which could give the Federal Reserve room to wait before cutting interest rates this year. Despite other data on Thursday showing a sharp widening in the trade deficit in January as businesses boosted imports of computers,...
Fed's Powell says aware of policy risks to workers, but cuts depend on inflation
Fed's Powell says aware of policy risks to workers, but cuts depend on inflation
Mar 7, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told U.S. lawmakers on Thursday the central bank was well aware of the risks its tough monetary policy posed to workers, but said rate cuts would depend on the economy evolving as the Fed expects, with continued lower inflation. Powell, appearing before the Senate Banking Committee, was pressed by the panel's chair,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved