financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024 5:10 AM

(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said.

"A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate equity demand," Cormac Conners, U.S. equity strategist at Goldman, said in a note dated March 21.

Earlier this month, the Wall Street bank said it expects S&P 500 companies' share repurchases to jump 13% to $925 billion this year, and then top $1 trillion next year.

Goldman cautioned that equity issuances this year will offset some of the purchases.

However, a much bigger offset, it estimated, would come via mutual funds and pension funds selling $300 billion and $325 billion of stocks, respectively, on a net basis.

The outflows in mutual funds will come as investors flock to passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), from actively managed ones, while pension funds will rotate capital towards lower-risk assets such as bonds, Conners said.

Moreover, the Presidential elections in November, the brokerage estimated, will lead to foreign investors offloading $50 billion worth of U.S. stocks this year, in stark contrast to last year when they bought stocks worth $179 billion.

"The U.S. is the global safe haven ... However, domestic uncertainty is likely to rise in conjunction with the Presidential election later this year," Conners said.

Besides corporates themselves, U.S. households will be the other group who will be net buyers of domestic stocks -- worth $100 billion -- this year, reversing course from being net sellers in 2023, the brokerage said.

The record $3.8 trillion households own in money market assets means they have ample funds, Conners said, but cautioned that the continuing allure of credit and elevated equity allocations could act as dampeners.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Kansas City Fed Services Index Indicates Contraction in September
Kansas City Fed Services Index Indicates Contraction in September
Sep 28, 2024
11:08 AM EDT, 09/27/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Kansas City Federal Reserve's monthly composite services index fell to a reading of minus 2 in September after rebounding to 5 in August, suggesting a return to contraction. A reading above zero indicates growth. The index is in line with the Philadelphia Fed and Richmond Fed indexes but in contrast with the...
Fed should cut interest rates 'gradually,' Musalem says
Fed should cut interest rates 'gradually,' Musalem says
Sep 27, 2024
(Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President Alberto Musalem on Friday said the U.S. central bank should cut interest rates gradually after what he called the strong and clear message of a half-point interest-rate cut last week, which he said he supported. For me, it's about easing off the brake at this stage. It's about making policy gradually less...
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Comes In Below Expectations For August, Easing Concerns About Rising Prices
Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Comes In Below Expectations For August, Easing Concerns About Rising Prices
Sep 27, 2024
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation in August came in below expectations, showing a decline from July’s inflation rate. According to government data released Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased by 2.2% in August compared to the same period last year. The reading was below the 2.3% analysts were expecting and a drop from July’s 2.5%....
US consumer spending resilient; inflation continues to abate
US consumer spending resilient; inflation continues to abate
Sep 28, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. consumer spending increased slightly less than expected in August, but that did little to change expectations that solid economic growth persisted in the third quarter, while the annual rise in prices was the smallest in just over 3-1/2 years. Strong growth expectations this quarter were underscored by other data from the Commerce Department on Friday showing the...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved