PRAGUE, Oct 7 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint hovered
at an 18-month low on Monday, the Czech crown sat off a
two-month low and the Polish zloty eased for a ninth consecutive
session, as dollar strength stayed a drag on central Europe's
currencies.
The region has been impacted in the past week by Middle East
tensions cutting into risk appetite. On Friday, a U.S. jobs
report pointed to a resilient economy and spurred markets to
reduce bets of outsized Federal Reserve rate cuts, leaving
central Europe once again under pressure from the dollar on
Monday.
The crown and forint have been the hardest hit, losing more
than 2% and 1%, respectively, in the past two weeks, in the wake
of extended interest-rate cutting cycles by the Czech and
Hungarian central banks.
The forint had fallen by 0.1% to 401.80 to the
euro by 0953 GMT on Monday, off a low of 402.20, as it sat on
the weak side of the big psychological level of 400 for a fourth
consecutive session.
"In the morning, there was a ray of hope the forint could
firm in a correction, but then everything started to weaken
again," a Budapest trader said.
"But there is very little activity in the market, and we see
a continuous, slow weakening... the forint's rate is determined
by the international mood these days."
The crown also lost 0.1%, to 25.354 per euro, and
was around its lowest levels since the beginning of August.
The zloty dropped to 4.323 to the euro to touch a
three-week low as it has fallen out of a long-held range between
4.25-4.30 in which it had sat since mid-August. The zloty had
been trading at four-year highs in July.
"We will look for signs of calm," ING said. "Rate
differentials remain at a record high after last week across the
board and central bank hawkishness should help erase some losses
later."
Despite continued interest rate cuts, Hungarian and Czech
central bankers have said they will be cautious about further
easing. At the same time, Polish and Romanian central banks
stayed on pause at meetings last week.
Investors will turn their focus to upcoming inflation
prints, in both central Europe and the United States, to gauge
the rate outlook.
"CE3 currencies are being buffeted around by global risk
sentiment," Commerzbank said in a note.
"Which way they will move this week is impossible to
predict. What one might say, though, is that the currencies are
primed for a rebound as soon as global tensions ease and risk
assets rally."
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1153
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
Czech 0
Hungary 00
Polish Romania Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
Prague 1590.39 1591.7 -0.08% +12.47
300 %
Budapes 73643.29 73411. +0.32% +21.48
t 75 %
Warsaw 3
Buchare 17464.86 17459. +0.03% +13.62
st 75 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
Poland
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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