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Bogota recalls ambassador from US, political clash
escalates
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Index tracking regional equities, FX grinds higher
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China trade offers window of opportunity
By Niket Nishant and Johann M Cherian
Oct 20 (Reuters) - The Colombian peso weakened against
the U.S. dollar on Monday as tensions with Washington over
tariffs and drugs cast a shadow on the currency, while an index
tracking the country's equities slipped and lagged regional
peers.
The moves put the spotlight on how quickly political
frictions can unsettle sentiment even as Latin American
economies seek to capitalize on investors' growing appetite for
diversification and currency upside.
"The U.S. administration is taking a very, very aggressive
stance. It could have very significant implications, especially
for the global commodity markets," said Carlos von Hardenberg,
founder of investment firm MCP Emerging Markets.
Commodities form the backbone of exports for much of Latin
America, leaving the region highly exposed if political tensions
disrupt supply chains.
Bogota recalled its ambassador from the United States after U.S.
President Donald Trump vowed to raise tariffs on Colombian
imports and called Colombian President Gustavo Petro an "illegal
drug leader", which Petro's government described as offensive.
The sharp escalation led to the Colombian peso
falling 0.9% against the dollar, while equities dipped
0.88%.
The losses left Colombia trailing regional peers, as
Brazil's benchmark equity index hit a two-week high and
Argentina's stocks were on track for their longest
winning streak in nearly three months.
They were last up 0.67% and 1.77%, respectively. The real
rose 0.6%.
Argentina's central bank also said it signed a deal for a $20
billion exchange rate stabilization agreement with the U.S.
Treasury, six days ahead of a key midterm election.
An index tracking Latin American equities
hit its highest in two weeks and a parallel gauge of regional
currencies hit its highest in a week and a half.
They were last up 0.97% and 0.76%, respectively.
Mexican stocks fell 0.56% as the market looked ahead
to the third-quarter earnings season. Shares of insurance
company Quálitas led the declines.
CHINA TRADE SHIFT OFFERS OPPORTUNITY
Separately, data from China highlighted how Latin American
economies could seize the upside from the rerouting of global
agricultural trade.
The second-largest economy in the world imported no soybeans
from the U.S. in September, the first time in nearly seven
years, while shipments from Argentina and Brazil surged.
Still, relying too much on China could be problematic,
especially as the sector grapples with its own problems of weak
domestic consumption and property market struggles.
Ratings agency Moody's downgraded China Vanke as
the embattled property developer grapples with an ailing
liquidity crisis.
"We don't see the right formula in China, where we can get
fully compensated for the political and regulatory risks," von
Hardenberg said.
Elsewhere, Turkey's main BIST 100 share index and
its banking index climbed 2.55% and 4.54%,
respectively, erasing losses from earlier in the session.
JPMorgan reduced its forecast for Turkey's interest rate cut and
revised its inflation outlook higher, warning that domestic
political developments posed upside risks for both benchmark
rates and price pressures.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1383.07 1.58
MSCI LatAm 2503.89 0.97
Brazil Bovespa 144362.14 0.67
Mexico IPC 61399.74 -0.56
Chile IPSA 9156.21 0.29
Argentina Merval 2024793.08 1.771
Colombia COLCAP 1907.27 -0.88
Currencies
Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.3738 0.63
Mexico peso 18.3905 -0.16
Chile peso 952.55 0.34
Colombia peso 3863.82 -0.9
Peru sol 3.3617 0.49
Argentina peso (interbank) 1475.5 -0.37
Argentina peso (parallel) 1470 1.02
(Reporting by Niket Nishant and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru)