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EMERGING MARKETS-Colombian stocks, FX lag regional peers as US tensions weigh
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EMERGING MARKETS-Colombian stocks, FX lag regional peers as US tensions weigh
Oct 20, 2025 8:36 AM

*

Bogota recalls ambassador from US, political clash

escalates

*

Index tracking regional equities, FX grinds higher

*

China trade offers window of opportunity

By Niket Nishant and Johann M Cherian

Oct 20 (Reuters) - The Colombian peso weakened against

the U.S. dollar on Monday as tensions with Washington over

tariffs and drugs cast a shadow on the currency, while an index

tracking the country's equities slipped and lagged regional

peers.

The moves put the spotlight on how quickly political

frictions can unsettle sentiment even as Latin American

economies seek to capitalize on investors' growing appetite for

diversification and currency upside.

"The U.S. administration is taking a very, very aggressive

stance. It could have very significant implications, especially

for the global commodity markets," said Carlos von Hardenberg,

founder of investment firm MCP Emerging Markets.

Commodities form the backbone of exports for much of Latin

America, leaving the region highly exposed if political tensions

disrupt supply chains.

Bogota recalled its ambassador from the United States after U.S.

President Donald Trump vowed to raise tariffs on Colombian

imports and called Colombian President Gustavo Petro an "illegal

drug leader", which Petro's government described as offensive.

The sharp escalation led to the Colombian peso

falling 0.9% against the dollar, while equities dipped

0.88%.

The losses left Colombia trailing regional peers, as

Brazil's benchmark equity index hit a two-week high and

Argentina's stocks were on track for their longest

winning streak in nearly three months.

They were last up 0.67% and 1.77%, respectively. The real

rose 0.6%.

Argentina's central bank also said it signed a deal for a $20

billion exchange rate stabilization agreement with the U.S.

Treasury, six days ahead of a key midterm election.

An index tracking Latin American equities

hit its highest in two weeks and a parallel gauge of regional

currencies hit its highest in a week and a half.

They were last up 0.97% and 0.76%, respectively.

Mexican stocks fell 0.56% as the market looked ahead

to the third-quarter earnings season. Shares of insurance

company Quálitas led the declines.

CHINA TRADE SHIFT OFFERS OPPORTUNITY

Separately, data from China highlighted how Latin American

economies could seize the upside from the rerouting of global

agricultural trade.

The second-largest economy in the world imported no soybeans

from the U.S. in September, the first time in nearly seven

years, while shipments from Argentina and Brazil surged.

Still, relying too much on China could be problematic,

especially as the sector grapples with its own problems of weak

domestic consumption and property market struggles.

Ratings agency Moody's downgraded China Vanke as

the embattled property developer grapples with an ailing

liquidity crisis.

"We don't see the right formula in China, where we can get

fully compensated for the political and regulatory risks," von

Hardenberg said.

Elsewhere, Turkey's main BIST 100 share index and

its banking index climbed 2.55% and 4.54%,

respectively, erasing losses from earlier in the session.

JPMorgan reduced its forecast for Turkey's interest rate cut and

revised its inflation outlook higher, warning that domestic

political developments posed upside risks for both benchmark

rates and price pressures.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

Equities

Latest Daily %

change

MSCI Emerging Markets 1383.07 1.58

MSCI LatAm 2503.89 0.97

Brazil Bovespa 144362.14 0.67

Mexico IPC 61399.74 -0.56

Chile IPSA 9156.21 0.29

Argentina Merval 2024793.08 1.771

Colombia COLCAP 1907.27 -0.88

Currencies

Latest Daily %

change

Brazil real 5.3738 0.63

Mexico peso 18.3905 -0.16

Chile peso 952.55 0.34

Colombia peso 3863.82 -0.9

Peru sol 3.3617 0.49

Argentina peso (interbank) 1475.5 -0.37

Argentina peso (parallel) 1470 1.02

(Reporting by Niket Nishant and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru)

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