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Brazil's jobless rate ticks up but labor market remains
strong
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Chile's copper output up 10% in Feb
By Ankika Biswas
March 28 (Reuters) - Brazil's real slipped to a near
one-week low against a muted dollar in thin trading volume,
dragging the Latin American currencies index, while investors
awaited a key U.S. inflation test for more clues on the Federal
Reserve's policy outlook.
The MSCI index tracking Latam currencies
fell 0.2%, on track for only slight gains this quarter, losing
steam following the previous quarter's near 6% jump, with the
dollar index set for a strong quarterly advance, owing to
doubts over U.S. rate cuts this year.
"Some Fed members believe that rate cuts can be delayed and
that perhaps only two are needed. This puts renewed downward
pressure on all Latam and EM which now face a bit of central
bank policy divergence after committing to slashing borrowing
costs," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA.
All eyes will be on the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the
so-called core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price
index data, due on Friday. Any negative surprises could further
blur the U.S. rate cuts picture.
Meanwhile, the stocks gauge was set for a
quarterly decline, after a near 16% jump in the previous one.
Equity markets in Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Peru will be
shut during the day owing to a public holiday, while Chile will
be partially closed.
While all Latam markets will be shut on Friday due to Good
Friday, Argentine markets will remain inactive until Tuesday.
On the data front, Brazil's jobless rate ticked up in the
three months through February but the largest Latam economy's
labor market remains resilient, with unemployment still close to
lowest levels since 2015.
Policymakers have been concerned that labor market strength
could feed into higher inflation and hinder monetary easing
cycle.
"We expect the hot labor market backdrop to stabilize in
coming quarters," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote.
The country's central bank revised up its economic growth
projection for this year to 1.9%, from the 1.7% seen in
December, which Finance Minister Fernando Haddad on Wednesday
had said could be revised to above 2.5%.
Brazil's real slipped 0.1% against the dollar, while
Chile's peso and Mexico's peso shed 0.3% and 0.1%.
Data showed Chile's unemployment rate rose to 8.5% in the
quarter through February, below estimates.
Top copper producer Chile's output of the red metal grew
9.95% year-on-year in February. Manufacturing production rose
8.8 annually, overshooting estimates.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1040.62 0.38
MSCI LatAm 2540.58 0.02
Brazil Bovespa 127622.23 -0.05
Mexico IPC 57369.01 0.28
Chile IPSA 6667.70 1.06
Argentina MerVal 1213484.60 -0.096
Colombia COLCAP 1332.98 1.13
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 4.9851 -0.12
Mexico peso 16.5459 -0.14
Chile peso 982.6 -0.32
Colombia peso 3861.22 0.00
Peru sol 3.7157 0.00
Argentina peso (interbank) 857.5000 -0.06
Argentina peso (parallel) 990 2.53