SINGAPORE, June 14 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied
natural gas (LNG) prices rose to a six-month top this week, on
the back of cooling demand in India, higher forecast
temperatures in northeast Asia and suspended production at an
Australian gas facility.
The average LNG price for July delivery into north-east Asia
was at $12.60 per million British thermal units
(mmBtu), its highest levels since December 15, industry sources
estimated.
The August delivery price was estimated at $12.70/mmBtu.
"The strength of demand in Asia has provided some support to
prices and differentials ... The level of tendering activity has
remained high due to a combination of fundamental drivers across
countries, including strong economic activity, hot weather,
challenging upstream production and restocking demand," said
Lucas Schmitt, research director on short-term LNG at Wood
Mackenzie.
"We expect Asian summer LNG demand to increase year-on-year,
but at a softer rate than in the last few months. Inventories
for key northeast Asian markets seem broadly balanced."
Spot demand from India remains strong as a heatwave
persists, but northeast Asian buying activity has mainly been
for trade optimization despite the meteorological agencies of
Japan and Korea forecasting a 50% probability of above-normal
temperatures in June and July, said Rystad Energy analyst Lu
Ming Pang in a note.
"Despite the impending warm weather forecasts, there is
still a lack of significant market activity, which may suggest
sufficient supplies for the summer season ahead. At current
prices, it is likely that Northeast Asian players will bide
their time to evaluate developments in summer requirements."
On the supply side, Chevron had suspended production at its
Wheatstone gas facility in Australia to repair the platform's
fuel gas system. It has commenced repair work, which is expected
to be completed in the coming weeks.
The production suspension supported Europe gas prices this
week. S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North
West Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes
delivered in July on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $11.151/mmBtu on
June 13, a $0.07/mmBtu discount to the July gas price at the
Dutch TTF hub.
Argus assessed the July delivery price at $11.10/mmBtu,
while Spark Commodities assessed it at $11.122/mmBtu.
But low European demand for gas has kept storage levels at
record highs this year, with Wood Mackenzie forecasting gas
storage will be full by end-September and remain full until
end-October, with an additional 4 million metric tonnes per
annum (tpa) of floating storage also accumulated.
"Limitations on European injection demand this summer and
weak downstream consumption continue to weigh on the region's
LNG receipts," said Samuel Good, head of LNG pricing at
commodity pricing agency Argus.
"An open inter-basin arbitrage for Atlantic loadings is
continuing to draw LNG away from Europe and to Asia instead,
where demand has remained strong even as Asian spot delivered
prices have risen well into the double digits."
Meanwhile, LNG freight rates experienced sharp increases
this week, said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan, with the
Atlantic spot rate rising to $64,250/day on Friday, and the
Pacific rate gaining to $48,000/day.