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World shares index just a few points from record highs
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European and US markets both at all-time peaks
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Bond market borrowing costs edge higher after US CPI
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Bitcoin bustles to new high, oil rangebound
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
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By Marc Jones
LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - World shares were eyeing
more record highs on Wednesday after new peaks in Europe and on
Wall Street, as investors bet hotter-than-expected U.S.
inflation will not stop the Federal Reserve and other central
banks from cutting interest rates.
Asian shares had hit seven-month highs overnight as a number
of tech sectors there made gains, but Europe was doing even
better by squeezing out its fifth all-time high in six sessions.
Volatility in foreign exchange markets remained low,
however, much to the disappointment of currency dealers, ahead
of the release by the European Central Bank of its highly
anticipated operational framework review.
The dollar, euro, yen and pound
were all little changed on the day, and though the yen
looks ready to jump if Japan finally raises interest rates next
week, the dollar has not moved by more than 1% in either
direction since November.
"We are in a very, very short-term, interest rate-driven
market where the overall story is a huge coalescence of
expectations for rate cuts (by the Fed, ECB and BoE) around
June," Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes said.
"The big issue is euro-dollar, if they (Fed and ECB) are
both going to cut three times this year ... if all rates move in
parallel with each other FX has nothing to go on," he added.
Benchmark U.S. and European bond yields that tend to drive
global borrowing costs were at one-week highs after Tuesday's
U.S. inflation upside surprise.
But the risk takers were still broadly in charge there too,
with the gap between Italian and German 10-year yields shrinking
to a fresh 26-month low and France's central bank chief backing
a "spring" ECB rate cut.
The latest rise in Europe's stock prices was driven by the
region's retailers as solid results from Zara-owner
Inditex and a 14% surge in Zalando shares
more than offset news of Adidas' first loss in 30
years due to its Kanye West problems.
Banking shares in the region hit a more than 6-year high
too, while Bitcoin bustled to its third straight record high at
$73,679 as crypto markets limbered up for what is known
as a "halving" - where it effectively becomes tougher to mine
the currency.
SUBDUED
Overnight, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan ended lower after touching its
highest level since early August.
China's property stocks took another knock amid the ongoing
problems there, while Tokyo's Nikkei also finished in
the red as investors took profits on some of its near 20% surge
since early December.
U.S. stock index futures were looking steady after the
recent run of highs there and investors await a further slew of
economic data this week, including producer prices on Thursday
and retail sales numbers, for more clues on the Fed's path.
The benchmark S&P 500 hit a fresh record high on
Tuesday as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Oracle shares surged and
the slightly hot consumer price data failed to dampen investors'
rate cut expectations.
Traders now see a 66% chance of the first rate cut coming in
June, the CME FedWatch Tool showed. Since March 2022, the Fed
has raised its policy rate by 525 basis points to the current
5.25% to 5.50% range.
"While the February CPI data was noisy across segments, we
believe the U.S. economy continues to be in good shape and is
heading for a soft landing," Mark Haefele, chief investment
officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note.
Dow e-minis and S&P 500 e-minis barely
budged as the start of U.S. trading loomed, while Nasdaq 100
e-minis were fractionally lower.
The yen, which has been lifted from lows by
growing expectations of a rate rise in Japan, was about 0.2%
firmer at 147.33 per dollar after news of more wage hikes at
large Japanese companies.
"We think the rate lift-off could happen in the March
meeting, following the annual wage negotiation outcome to be
announced this Friday," said MUFG analyst Lloyd Chan.
In commodities, higher yields yanked gold from near
record levels and it was last at $2,164 an ounce. Crude futures
have been range-bound for several weeks. Brent was last
1.5% stronger at just over $83 a barrel.
(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Sydney
Editing by Tomasz Janowski)