financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Markets price three ECB rate hikes in 2026 as Iran de-escalation hopes fade
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Markets price three ECB rate hikes in 2026 as Iran de-escalation hopes fade
Apr 2, 2026 12:32 AM

April 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone benchmark Bund yields

snapped a three-day decline on Thursday and traders raised bets

for central bank interest rate hikes as hopes of de-escalation

in the Middle East conflict faded.

Money markets priced in an ECB deposit facility rate of

2.75% at year-end, from 2.68% late

Wednesday. The rate is currently 2%.

German borrowing costs were still on track for their first

weekly drop since the beginning of the war as investors scaled

back their bets for future European Central Bank rate hikes on

expectations for a quick end to the conflict earlier this week.

Germany's 10-year government bond yield rose 3

basis points (bps) to 3.03% and was set for a 7-bp weekly drop.

It reached 3.13% last Friday, its highest level since June 2011.

U.S. President Donald Trump vowed more aggressive strikes on

Iran in a Wednesday evening prime-time speech.

Meanwhile, Tehran will press on with the Middle East war

until the United States and Israel face "permanent regret and

surrender", a spokesperson for its armed forces' unified command

said.

Oil prices have jumped since early March, fuelling inflation

fears and expectations for rate hikes at the ECB and elsewhere.

Germany's 2-year yields, more sensitive to

expectations for policy rates, were up 4.5 bps at 2.65%. They

were on track for a 2-bp weekly decline.

Italy's 10-year government bond yields rose 8

bps to 3.93%, after reaching 4.142% last Friday, the highest

since July 2024.

The yield gap between Italian government bonds and Bunds

stood at 89 bps. It was at 63 bps before the start of the war,

and had dipped to 53.50 in mid-January, its lowest level since

August 2008.

The French spread over Bunds was at 71 bps

from 58 bps before the conflict.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Morning Bid: Markets enter the eye of risk-event storm
Morning Bid: Markets enter the eye of risk-event storm
Nov 3, 2024
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland Yields are mercifully lower as the week draws to a close, removing some of the angst that has weighed on equities and allowing the beaten-down yen and euro to regain some composure against the dollar. But this relative calm feels like the eye of the storm...
MORNING BID EUROPE-Markets enter the eye of risk-event storm
MORNING BID EUROPE-Markets enter the eye of risk-event storm
Nov 3, 2024
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland Yields are mercifully lower as the week draws to a close, removing some of the angst that has weighed on equities and allowing the beaten-down yen and euro to regain some composure against the dollar. But this relative calm feels like the eye of the storm...
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Megacap earnings loom, Japan decides, gilts wobble
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Megacap earnings loom, Japan decides, gilts wobble
Nov 3, 2024
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan Tesla's 20%-plus stock surge whets investor appetites for next week's earnings from most of the rest of the Magnificent 7 of U.S. megacaps - with overseas markets keeping close tabs on weekend elections in Japan and next week's UK budget. A relatively quiet end to a...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks head for weekly loss as Japan election and earnings risks loom
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks head for weekly loss as Japan election and earnings risks loom
Nov 3, 2024
* Greenback, 10-year Treasury yields retreat from 3-month peaks * Surprise drop in US jobless claims continues run of robust data * Hawkish Fed bets to be tested by monthly payrolls data on Nov. 1 * Mega-cap earnings due next week from Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ), Meta (Updates prices) By Naomi Rovnick and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 25 (Reuters)...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved