A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
Nvidia ( NVDA ) is holding the investment world in thrall
ahead of an earnings report later today that, even if it
delivers the expected doubling of second-quarter revenue, may
not satisfy investors accustomed to market-moving
outperformance.
The chipmaker's market value was around $390 billion on the
eve of the launch of artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot,
ChatGPT, less than two years ago.
Now it is nearly $3.2 trillion, and in June it swaggered,
briefly, to a turn as the most valuable company on earth,
powered by chips that provide the hardware behind the AI
computing boom.
Sheer size and its position as an industry bellwether mean
its earnings, due after the U.S. close on Wednesday, can move
the entire market.
Trade in Asia was light and moves modest ahead of the
release, and European equity futures were flat.
Europe's data and reporting calendar is mostly bare, with
Eurozone broad money growth seen rising to 2.7%, while markets
are focused on Nvidia's ( NVDA ) results ahead of European and U.S.
inflation measures due later in the week.
Options prices show traders have braced for a near 10% swing
in Nvidia's ( NVDA ) shares when they trade on Thursday, translating in
dollar terms to more than $300 billion in market value - likely
the largest ever market move on an earnings report.
That would dwarf the market capitalisation of 95% of S&P 500
constituents, according to LSEG data, and probably send
shockwaves through the global semiconductor sector.
Elsewhere, sterling sat near a 2-1/2 year high on
Wednesday as one of the biggest beneficiaries of a slide in the
dollar. Traders anticipate about 100 basis points of U.S.
interest rate cuts this year against only 40 bps in Britain.
As the markets await Nvidia's ( NVDA ) turn at centre stage, fans of
Oasis, which signed its first record deal in 1993 just a few
weeks after Nvidia's ( NVDA ) founding, can join the scramble for
Mancunian hotel rooms after the announcement of planned Oasis
reunion shows next year.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
Earnings: Nvidia ( NVDA )
Economics: Eurozone M3 growth, French unemployment