A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Stella Qiu
The markets got a jolt on Friday from what looked likely
to be a dull summer day, when U.S. President Donald Trump took
to the TV to inject fresh drama into his simmering trade wars
and disrupted Wall Street's recent upward drift to record highs.
Trump said tariff letters to Canada and Europe would go out
"today or tomorrow" and floated the idea that the blanket tariff
rates on other countries that do not get a letter could be set
at 15% or 20%, a step up from the current 10% baseline rate.
Soon afterwards he posted the letter to Canada on social
media, specifying that a 35% tariff rate would be imposed on all
Canadian goods from August 1.
Market nerves were soothed a bit, however, when an
administration official clarified that an exclusion was expected
for goods covered by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Wall Street futures skidded 0.8% and EUROSTOXX 50 futures
dropped 0.7% before regaining some composure. They were
last down about 0.3%.
Currency markets also convulsed but, once the dust settled,
the dollar was up about 0.3% on the loonie and the euro
had slipped 0.2%.
The yen, for its part, has been steadily weakening as the
prospects dim for a U.S.-Japan trade deal. The dollar was up
0.6% on Friday at 147.12 yen and is headed for a
weekly gain of 1.7%, the biggest this year.
On the crosses, the yen is down for a seventh straight week
on the euro and hit a five-month low on the
Australian dollar.
With Trump now saying the EU will get a letter, too,
investors suspect trade talks between the two are not going very
well. EU officials had been saying they were aiming for a deal
before August 1.
The economic data calendars in Europe and the U.S. are
relatively light on Friday, leaving investors to gear up for
second-quarter U.S. corporate earnings next week to gauge the
impact of Trump's tariffs.
In an ominous sign of what may be to come, Uniqlo owner Fast
Retailing ( FRCOF ) warned that tariffs will have a significant
impact on its U.S. operation later this year, and plans to raise
prices to soften the blow. Its shares tumbled almost 7% in
Tokyo.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
-- UK May monthly GDP
-- Canadian jobs numbers for June
-- Eurozone final CPI for June
-- Possible Trump letter on tariffs to the EU