SINGAPORE, June 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged up on
Monday, aided by hopes of rising fuel demand this summer,
although a firmer dollar boosted by lower chances of imminent
interest rate cuts capped gains.
Brent crude futures gained 15 cents, or 0.2%, to
$79.77 a barrel by 0644 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude futures was up 0.1%, or 10 cents, at $75.63 a
barrel.
On Friday, data showed the U.S. added more jobs than
expected last month, leading investors to trim expectations for
rate cuts, which helped the dollar to rally.
A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated commodities
such as oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.
The euro also came under pressure, reflecting uncertainty in
the eurozone after French President Emmanuel Macron called snap
legislative elections for later in June after he was trounced in
the European Union vote by Marine Le Pen's far-right party.
"Regarding Macron and elections, it does create another
layer of uncertainty, coming after the upside surprise in U.S.
non-farm payrolls, which saw yields scream higher," Tony
Sycamore, a Sydney-based analyst at IG said.
Markets are now focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank
of Japan meetings this week, with the risks of more hawkish
outcomes, Sycamore said.
"That will likely create more angst amongst some of the
member states of OPEC+ as to when they can return their cuts
back to the market given the negative reception this proposal
received last week post the OPEC+ meeting."
Brent and WTI posted their third straight weekly loss last
week on concerns that a plan to unwind production cuts by the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their
allies, a group known as OPEC+, from October will add to rising
global supply.
The announcement coincided with a rise in total commercial
OECD crude and product stocks on land to an estimated 48 million
barrels in May, compared with the average build of 30 million
barrels during 2015-2019, energy consultancy FGE said in a note.
Analysts and traders expect summer holiday demand to reduce
stockpiles and support prices.
"We continue to expect the market to firm up and crude
prices to reach mid-$80/bbl levels as we move into 3Q 2024, but
it will likely need a convincing signal of tightening from
preliminary inventory data," FGE said.
Goldman Sachs analysts expect Brent to rise to $86 a barrel
in third quarter.
"We expect that healthy consumers and solid summer demand
for transportation and cooling will push the market in a sizable
Q3 deficit of 1.3mb/d."
In the U.S., Washington stepped up purchasing of crude oil
to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after prices fell.
Last week, U.S. energy firms cut the number of oil and
natural gas rigs operating to the lowest since January 2022,
energy services firm Baker Hughes ( BKR ) said on Friday.
In the Middle East, Iraq's Oil Minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani
said there has been progress in talks with Kurdistan region
officials and representatives of international companies
operating there for a deal to resume oil exports via the
Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline that once handled about 0.5% of global
oil supply.