* Germany's bad year in China
* U.S. finalizes anti-Chinese connected-car rules
* Slower year ahead for Chinese car exports
German automakers' pain in China
It's official. 2024 was a bad year for German automakers in
China.
Porsche in particular had an annus horribilis in China, with
sales plunging 28% as Chinese consumers increasingly held back
on luxury goods because of faltering economic growth and an
ongoing real estate crisis.
But Volkswagen, BMW and Mercedes-Benz all saw sales fall in
China amid stiff competition from local automakers, which has
been a bitter pill to swallow as they have been reliant on
Chinese sales to boost profits.
To make matters worse, as my Reuters colleague Victoria
Waldersee reports, their sales of premium models at home in
Germany have also fallen because of economic uncertainty. You
can read about it here.
Volkswagen has already announced a deal with its German union
for 35,000 future job cuts and sharp capacity reductions to
counter cheaper Chinese rivals and weak demand in Europe.
But the German auto industry's winter of discontent may well be
far from over.
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U.S. finalizes anti-Chinese EV rules
In one of its last acts before exiting stage right, Joe Biden's
administration has finalized rules this week cracking down on
Chinese vehicle software and hardware in connected cars. You can
read about it here.
First proposed in September, this move effectively bans
virtually all Chinese cars and trucks from the U.S. market. It
is thus far more effective than tariffs at keeping out
Chinese-made EVs or even those made by Chinese-owned brands that
had hoped to build cars in U.S. factories.
Polestar, for instance, has said that the ban would "effectively
prohibit" the sale of its cars, even those manufactured in the
United States.
Biden added to Chinese tariffs imposed by Trump, and the
Inflation Reduction Act has further encouraged automakers and
suppliers to avoid Chinese suppliers.
While Trump has promised yet more tariffs on Chinese imports, he
has also said he wants to incentivize Chinese automakers to come
to make cars in the United States. So it remains to be seen if
the new rules will remain in place under Trump.
Slowing Chinese car exports in 2025
China's car export growth is expected to slow in 2025 to around
5.8% versus a hefty 19.3% increase last year as tariffs in
Europe on Chinese-made EVs are expected to further hit electric
car exports.
The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) said EV
exports fell 10.4% last year after rising 80.9% in 2023.
Meanwhile, plug-in hybrid exports were up 190% after posting
growth of 47.8% in 2023.
China ranked as the world's largest auto exporter ahead of Japan
for the second year running in 2024 despite the EU tariffs
introduced in late October.
CAAM forecasts Chinese vehicle sales will rise 4.7% to 32.9
million units this year, following a 4.5% rise in 2024.
BYD's Brazilian labor problems continue
BYD brought hundreds of Chinese workers to Brazil on irregular
visas to build a factory, a key labor inspector told my Reuters
colleagues Fabio Teixeira and Luciana Novaes Magalhaes, bringing
fresh Brazilian labor problems for the Chinese automaker. You
can read about it here.
A total of 163 of the workers, who were hired by BYD contractor
Jinjiang, were found last month to be working in what Brazilian
authorities described as "slavery-like conditions."
Liane Durao, who spearheaded the labor authorities' probe in
Bahia state, told Reuters that BYD has pledged to comply with
local labor laws for the workers it still employs in the
country.
Durao said the 163 workers are in the process of leaving Brazil,
adding that BYD would be fined for each one. She did not say how
much BYD will end up paying.
In December, the labor prosecutor's office described the workers
as human trafficking victims. Jinjiang had withheld the
passports of 107 of the workers, investigators said.
Fast Laps
Sweden's Volvo Group will go ahead with a planned
$700-million heavy-truck factory in Mexico, despite Trump's
tariff threats, its CEO told Reuters.
Hyundai Motor is launching an $18,000 compact electric car in
Japan to penetrate a market dominated by local giants focused on
petrol and hybrid vehicle technologies.
BYD will launch its Atto 2 compact electric SUV in Europe in
February, despite EU tariffs on Chinese-made EVs.
Stellantis ( STLA ) achieved its goal of cutting its bloated U.S.
inventories by more than 100,000 vehicles late last year, the
company's top North American executive said.
British luxury automaker Rolls-Royce is investing 300 million
pounds to expand its UK Goodwood plant to focus more on bespoke
cars for high-end clients.
Australian law firm Maurice Blackburn has filed a class action
lawsuit against U.S. carmaker General Motors' ( GM ) local Holden unit,
alleging the transmission systems of certain models of the
now-defunct brand were defective.
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(Editing by Mark Potter)