Nov 21 (Reuters) - Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ), Comcast ( CMCSA )
and Netflix ( NFLX ) are bidding to buy Warner Bros
Discovery ( WBD ), Reuters reported on Thursday, but each
company's bid faces its own political and regulatory risks.
Factors to watch include market share imbalances each bidder
could bring, investors and public comments by U.S. President
Donald Trump or his administration about each company.
The White House could not immediately be reached for
comment.
Political Risk
Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ):
Paramount may have the inside track because of its White House
connections and the significant cash the world's second-richest
person, Larry Ellison, can provide Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ) to
close the deal. His son, Paramount CEO David Ellison, enjoys
Trump's favor, which could help smooth regulatory hurdles.
Democratic Senators Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Richard
Blumenthal worry approval of the deal could be tainted by
political favoritism, citing Paramount Global's $16 million
donation to Trump's Presidential Library. The payment, made
prior to a merger with Skydance that placed Ellison at the media
company's helm, settled a lawsuit Trump brought over edits to a
"60 Minutes" interview.
Still, if the bid includes foreign investors, the size of
their potential stake could trigger a review by the Committee on
Foreign Investment in the United States. The merging of
Paramount's and Warner Bros' cable television networks could
raise concerns about market concentration for the DOJ.
Outside the U.S., regulators would also weigh in under
foreign direct investment regimes, while European authorities
would examine media plurality rules given the combination of CNN
and CBS.
Comcast ( CMCSA ):
The Philadelphia-based cable giant faces a different political
climate. Trump has repeatedly denigrated the company over its
unit NBC's coverage of his second term in office, calling it
"Concast," and criticized its Chairman Brian Roberts.
That hostility could complicate the DOJ's posture, though
any opposition would need to be grounded in law and competition
concerns rather than White House preference.
The DOJ sought to block AT&T's $85.4 billion acquisition of
Time Warner, whose CNN attracted Trump's ire during his first
term in the White House. A federal judge ultimately cleared a
path for the deal in 2018.
Netflix ( NFLX ):
The streaming leader has its own potential political
struggles. In October 2025, the Pentagon criticized "Boots," a
series about a gay Marine, according to the Hollywood Reporter.
"We will not compromise our standards to satisfy an ideological
agenda, unlike Netflix ( NFLX ) whose leadership consistently produces
and feeds woke garbage to their audience and children," a
Defense Department representative said.
Even before the bids were in, Republican Senator Roger Marshall
and Representative Darrell Issa warned that allowing Netflix ( NFLX ) to
take over the company would hand it the content rights of HBO
Max and Warner Bros, which they said could raise prices and
decrease choice for consumers.
Market dominance, however, is in the eye of the beholder.
YouTube accounts for more television viewing in the U.S. than
its closest rival, Netflix ( NFLX ), according to Nielsen.
Competition and Antitrust Risk
Given past practice, the Justice Department would likely have
antitrust oversight of any deal. Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ) does not
hold broadcast TV assets and as a result, Federal Communications
Commission Chair Brendan Carr would likely not have
jurisdiction.
Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ):
A merger with Warner Bros Discovery ( WBD ) would unite two major
Hollywood studios, two streaming platforms (HBO Max and
Paramount+) and two news operations (CNN and CBS). Exhibitors
are likely to worry about the number of films reaching theaters,
with Comscore estimating the combined entity would control 32%
of the U.S. and Canadian box office, based on 2025 revenue.
The creative community may also face reduced employment
options if there are fewer movies or if, for example, CBS News
and CNN were combined. Sports rights concentration - CBS and TNT
under one roof - could potentially raise prices for consumers.
Comcast ( CMCSA ):
Combining Universal Pictures with Warner Bros Studios would
create an even larger theatrical powerhouse, accounting for more
than 43% of the North American box office, according to
Comscore. That level of market share could alarm regulators and
exhibitors, raising questions about diminished opportunities for
filmmakers and talent.
The DOJ would need to assess whether such
consolidation harms competition in theatrical distribution.
During Trump's first term, the DOJ approved a similarly sized
deal - Walt Disney's ( DIS ) acquisition of 21st Century Fox,
which brought together two film studios that at the time
represented a combined 38% of the domestic box office, according
to Comscore.
Netflix ( NFLX ):
The streaming leader's bid would not affect theatrical
releases but would reshape the subscription video market.
(Netflix ( NFLX ) will continue to distribute movies into theaters, a
source familiar with the matter said, confirming a Bloomberg
report). Adding HBO Max's 128 million subscribers to Netflix's ( NFLX )
more than 300 million would create a formidable player.
Regulators may ask whether such scale limits consumer
choice, though the market definition is contested: YouTube,
TikTok and other platforms command significant viewing time. The
DOJ would need to decide whether Netflix's ( NFLX ) dominance constitutes
a threat to competition or simply reflects evolving consumer
habits.