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Billionaire investor John Paulson sees gold near $5,000 by 2028
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Billionaire investor John Paulson sees gold near $5,000 by 2028
May 25, 2025 8:54 PM

April 29 (Reuters) - Central bank gold buying and global

trade tensions are likely to push bullion prices to near $5,000

an ounce by 2028, billionaire investor John Paulson said in an

interview during which he reinforced his commitment to U.S.

mining projects

The price forecast is one of the most bullish yet as banks

and others move to increase their own estimates after gold hit a

record high just above $3,500 last week. Deutsche Bank

, for one, expects bullion to hit $3,700 an ounce by

next year.

Already the largest shareholder in Idaho gold and antimony

developer Perpetua Resources ( PPTA ), Paulson last week bought

a 40% stake in NovaGold's Donlin gold project in Alaska

from Barrick.

Asked where he expects bullion prices to head, Paulson cited

a recent estimate put to him for levels at the "high $4,000

range" within three years.

"It's a well-informed prediction. I think that's a

reasonable number," Paulson said.

"As central banks and people look to put their money in a

more stable source... I think gold will increase its position in

the world," he added.

The New York-based investor cited Western confiscation of

Russia's foreign reserve holdings after Moscow's invasion of

Ukraine as a catalyst for the world's central banks - especially

China's - to pile into gold.

"When the war started, (Russia) kept their physical gold,

that was safe, but all their cash - the paper reserves - were

confiscated," Paulson said.

"So that caused other central banks to wake up and say ...

'What happens if there's a conflict with the U.S.? Could the

U.S. keep our treasuries, and all our savings would disappear?'"

Paulson said.

He added that he sees global trade uncertainty, fueled in

part by Washington's tariffs, as further underpinning gold.

"The best place to go if your faith in the (U.S.) dollar

diminishes is gold as a reserve currency," said Paulson, who was

considered for a role in U.S. President Donald Trump's

second-term cabinet.

Paulson declined to discuss details of conversations with

Trump, but said the president has been "very pro on America

first and the golden age of America, and bringing manufacturing

and mining back to America."

MINES

Paulson, who has long invested in gold, said he has no

interest in expanding into copper or other metals. "Other

minerals are a whole different world, so we're concentrating our

efforts in gold," he said.

In Idaho, Paulson is the largest shareholder in Perpetua,

which received its federal mining permit in January, is applying

for funding from the U.S. Export-Import Bank, and has received

support from Trump's White House.

Perpetua's gold production is seen as financially

buttressing the mine's antimony production and ensuring a

domestic supply of the metal - used in bullets and other

weaponry - for the Pentagon. China has blocked antimony exports

to the U.S.

Perpetua is working with Sunshine Silver & Refining - backed

by metals investor Thomas Kaplan's Electrum Group - to build an

antimony refinery. Sunshine holds permits to build such a

refinery, which would supply 40% of the nation's needs.

"It's a very well-established (refining) process," said

Kaplan. "We're just upgrading it and putting it back into

production."

In Alaska, the Donlin project has federal permits and

Paulson said should have operating costs around $1,000 an ounce,

far below current gold prices.

Paulson and Electrum are also invested in International

Tower Hill, which is developing an Alaska gold mine, as

well as Trilogy Metals ( TMQ ), which aims to develop projects

in Alaska's Ambler district.

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