HOUSTON, March 18 (Reuters) - Liquefied natural gas
(LNG) prices have fallen about a third over the past nine
months, propping up demand, which should tighten the LNG market
in the near-term, executives said on Monday at the CERAWeek
energy conference.
LNG prices have tumbled as supplies have swelled. LNG for
April delivery into northeast Asia was at $8.60 per million
British thermal units (mmBtu) last week, its lowest since April
2021.
Executives from companies including Chevron ( CVX ) and trading firm
Trafigura estimated that the decline in prices will likely spur
greater demand, while Wael Sawan, the CEO of Shell, said demand
is already increasing as a result of reduced prices.
"It's a pretty trite thing to say, but low prices fix low
prices," said Richard Holtum, global head of gas, power and
renewables for trading firm Trafigura.
"Gas prices are so low here, it's a competitive advantage"
he said.
Surging U.S. gas supplies and low prices have led companies
to propose several new LNG export plants. The flurry of new
proposals in turn prompted U.S. President Joe Biden's
administration to pause its reviews of permits for the export
plants, concerned so many new projects would undermine his
pledge to cut U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.
The permit review pause will undermine U.S. dominance in
LNG exports, said Mike Sommers, president of industry trade
group American Petroleum Institute, said on Monday.
"We're losing market share to other countries as a
consequence of the LNG export pause," Sommers said.
Amos Hochstein, a White House energy advisor, defended
the pause given the huge increase in U.S. gas exports since they
began in 2016.
U.S. exported a record 8.6 million metric tons (MT) of the
superchilled gas in December and 8.3 MT in January.
"We're just going to take a look at what is the speed,
while not affecting the existing projects," Hochstein said.
The second half of the decade will lead to a 40 percent
increase in global LNG output, said Trafigura's Holtum.
Gunvor Chairman Torbjörn Törnqvist, meanwhile, estimated LNG
supply will jump by a third over the next five years. He said
there is not currently any tightness in the market and that gas
prices are likely to remain low given the abundance of supply.
Patrick Pouyanne, CEO of TotalEnergies, a leading exporter
of US LNG, echoed expectations for a increase in supply in the
later half of the decade.
"It will be very good for the buyers, good for the customers
and we will have the next generation of demand," he said.