LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Copper prices on COMEX soared
to two-month highs on Thursday as the market attempted to
discount the potential for hefty tariffs on U.S. imports after
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump takes office later this month.
Prices of the industrial metal on COMEX, part of the
CME Group ( CME ), hit $4.285 a lb or $9,446.82 a metric ton,
the highest since November 11, after Trump won the U.S. election
and floated the idea of import levies. The contract was last up
1.0% at $4.2795.
Climbing copper prices on COMEX have widened the premium
against the copper contract on the London Metal Exchange
(LME) to around $400 a ton from near zero at the start of 2025.
Worries about U.S. import tariffs, particularly the threat
of a 60% levy on Chinese shipments, the possibility of trade
wars and the damage to global trade and growth had initially
sent copper on both exchanges lower.
Metal traders expect LME copper prices, which have held up
due to a lower dollar, to come under pressure over the coming
days and widen the gap against the CME future as short positions
-- bets on lower prices -- on the U.S. exchange are cut.
"The threat of universal tariffs is wreaking havoc on metals
markets," analysts at TD Securities said in a note.
In an attempt to prepare for any tariffs, traders have been
shipping copper to the United States. Some of that was deposited
in warehouses registered with the CME.
Total copper stocks - warranted and unwarranted -- in CME
warehouses are at a six-year high of 96,384 tons
are up nearly 10% since late November.
"We expect copper inventory to continue to build in CME
sheds ahead of the implementation of tariffs, particularly as
the CME copper is a duty-paid customs-cleared contract," BNP
Paribas analyst David Wilson said in a recent note.
"We expect that the imposition of tariffs will be reflected
in the relative value of CME versus LME copper pricing."
However, analysts say the U.S. is not as dependent on copper
imports as it is on aluminium, zinc and nickel.
"Significant refined (copper) production from
Freeport-McMoRan ( FCX ) and Rio Tinto Kennecott, among
others, accounts for over 55% of U.S. domestic copper needs,"
Wilson said.
"Copper sourced from Chile dominates imports, accounting for
about 66% or 511,000 tons of refined copper imported into the
U.S. last year. Mexico and Canada together accounted for 19% or
142,000 tons of U.S. copper imports last year."