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CME copper hits two-month highs, focus on US import tariffs
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CME copper hits two-month highs, focus on US import tariffs
Jan 9, 2025 12:44 PM

LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Copper prices on COMEX soared

to two-month highs on Thursday as the market attempted to

discount the potential for hefty tariffs on U.S. imports after

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump takes office later this month.

Prices of the industrial metal on COMEX, part of the

CME Group ( CME ), hit $4.285 a lb or $9,446.82 a metric ton,

the highest since November 11, after Trump won the U.S. election

and floated the idea of import levies. The contract was last up

1.0% at $4.2795.

Climbing copper prices on COMEX have widened the premium

against the copper contract on the London Metal Exchange

(LME) to around $400 a ton from near zero at the start of 2025.

Worries about U.S. import tariffs, particularly the threat

of a 60% levy on Chinese shipments, the possibility of trade

wars and the damage to global trade and growth had initially

sent copper on both exchanges lower.

Metal traders expect LME copper prices, which have held up

due to a lower dollar, to come under pressure over the coming

days and widen the gap against the CME future as short positions

-- bets on lower prices -- on the U.S. exchange are cut.

"The threat of universal tariffs is wreaking havoc on metals

markets," analysts at TD Securities said in a note.

In an attempt to prepare for any tariffs, traders have been

shipping copper to the United States. Some of that was deposited

in warehouses registered with the CME.

Total copper stocks - warranted and unwarranted -- in CME

warehouses are at a six-year high of 96,384 tons

are up nearly 10% since late November.

"We expect copper inventory to continue to build in CME

sheds ahead of the implementation of tariffs, particularly as

the CME copper is a duty-paid customs-cleared contract," BNP

Paribas analyst David Wilson said in a recent note.

"We expect that the imposition of tariffs will be reflected

in the relative value of CME versus LME copper pricing."

However, analysts say the U.S. is not as dependent on copper

imports as it is on aluminium, zinc and nickel.

"Significant refined (copper) production from

Freeport-McMoRan ( FCX ) and Rio Tinto Kennecott, among

others, accounts for over 55% of U.S. domestic copper needs,"

Wilson said.

"Copper sourced from Chile dominates imports, accounting for

about 66% or 511,000 tons of refined copper imported into the

U.S. last year. Mexico and Canada together accounted for 19% or

142,000 tons of U.S. copper imports last year."

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