Feb 20 (Reuters) - Eli Lilly ( LLY ) is betting big on
its experimental oral weight-loss drug even before reporting
data from its late-stage trial by recording nearly $550 million
in "pre-launch inventory" in its financial statements, a filing
showed on Wednesday.
The move is unusual as it comes more than a year before the
drug, orforglipron, is expected to be launched. Most drugmakers
include such inventories, or assets, in their financial
statements to show how much drug product has been manufactured
right before approval.
"There have been recent similar pre-launch inventory builds,
especially around COVID-19 vaccines, but with the launch not
coming until 2026, this earlier-than-normal inventory build is
certainly much larger than normal," said Kevin Gade, chief
operating officer at Bahl & Gaynor, which owns Lilly's shares.
This reflects Lilly's desire to be on the front foot by
launching the drug as early as possible to build a time
advantage in the market for tackling future competition, Gade
said.
Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly ( LLY )
currently dominate the market for weight-loss treatments with
their injectable drugs. Novo is studying the pill version of its
experimental drug, amycretin, while others including AstraZeneca ( AZN )
are also developing oral obesity treatments.
Evercore ISI analyst Umer Raffat, who highlighted the
inventory build in a research note on Thursday, said the
so-called capitalized inventory implied $10 billion in sales,
based on 2024 figures alone. Raffat added that the inventory
build-up will inevitably amplify.
In a mid-stage trial, the highest dose of orforglipron led to
14.7% weight loss after 36 weeks for people who were obese or
overweight. Lilly is expected to report late-stage data for the
drug by April.
Lilly also
said
on its post-earning conference call this month that it was
already building manufacturing capacity for the drug.
(Reporting by Sriparna Roy in Bengaluru, additional reporting
by Bhanvi Satija; Editing by Manas Mishra and Anil D'Silva)