By Javi West Larrañaga and Marleen Kaesebier
Oct 7 (Reuters) - The outlook for European corporate
health has improved slightly, the latest earnings forecasts
showed on Tuesday, though the expected results would still be
the worst quarterly performance since the first quarter of 2024.
European companies are expected to report a drop of 0.2% in
third-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG I/B/E/S
data, below the 0.6% fall analysts expected a week ago.
The forecast contrasts starkly with the 12.5% earnings
growth expected before U.S. President Donald Trump announced
plans for a wide array of tariffs in February.
Revenue estimates for Europe-wide STOXX 600
companies have also taken a hit and are now expected to shrink
0.3% compared to last year, according to the data.
A year ago, STOXX 600 companies delivered on average a 7.8%
increase in third-quarter earnings and a 1.1% drop in revenues.
In the second quarter of 2025, earnings increased 4.0%
year-on-year.
This earnings season could show how European companies are
navigating a rocky trade environment and whether they will
benefit from increased clarity since a U.S.-EU framework deal in
July.
Shares in France's SEB and Britain's Aston Martin
plunged on Monday after the former cut its profit
forecast and the latter warned of a bigger-than-expected annual
loss as a result of lower demand and U.S. tariffs.
Euro zone earnings have disappointed this year, but they are
set to improve in 2026 on the back of a number of catalysts,
J.P. Morgan analysts said in a note on Monday, upgrading the
single currency area to "overweight" from "neutral".