WASHINGTON, Jan 24 (Reuters) -
President Donald Trump ordered the creation of a
digital asset working group
on Thursday which, among other things, would be tasked with
exploring a U.S. cryptocurrency stockpile.
He has directed the group, by July, to turn in a report
addressing criteria for such a stockpile, potentially derived
from cryptocurrencies seized by the federal government.
Some market participants were disappointed Trump did not
immediately begin accumulating a bitcoin strategic reserve.
Here are some of the issues at hand:
WHAT IS A STRATEGIC RESERVE?
A strategic reserve is a stock of a critical resource that
can be released at times of crisis or supply disruptions. The
best-known example is the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the
world's largest supply of emergency crude oil, which was created
by an act of Congress in 1975 after a 1973-74 Arab oil embargo
throttled the U.S. economy. Presidents have tapped the stockpile
to calm oil markets during war or when hurricanes hit oil
infrastructure along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico.
Canada has the world's only strategic reserve of maple
syrup, while China has strategic reserves of metals, grains and
even pork products.
HOW WOULD A U.S. STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE WORK?
Trump's Thursday order shed little light on the scope or
structure of what may be under consideration. The working group
was directed to evaluate potentially deriving a stockpile from
cryptocurrency seized through law enforcement efforts.
Currently, that stands at around 200,000 tokens, worth about
$21 billion at market prices, according to
bitcointreasuries.net. It remains unclear what the legal process
would be for moving them out of the Justice Department.
Trump has not said if the government would add to that
stockpile by buying more bitcoin in the open market and the
order offers no further specific instructions.
The most concrete bitcoin reserve proposal circulating in
Washington comes from pro-crypto Republican Senator Cynthia
Lummis, who personally holds five bitcoins.
In July she introduced a bill, yet to gain traction, that
would create a reserve operated by the Treasury.
The bill envisages that the Treasury would create a program
to buy 200,000 bitcoins annually for five years until the
stockpile hit one million tokens. This would represent about 5%
of the total global supply of bitcoin of around 21 million. The
Treasury would fund the purchases with profits on Federal
Reserve banks' deposits and gold holdings.
The bitcoin reserve would subsequently be maintained for a
minimum of 20 years.
WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS OF A BITCOIN RESERVE?
In a July speech, Trump suggested a bitcoin reserve would
help the U.S. dominate the global bitcoin market in the face of
growing competition from China.
Other proponents argue that by holding a stockpile of
bitcoin, which they say is likely to continue appreciating over
the long term, the U.S. could reduce its deficit without raising
taxes, strengthening the U.S. dollar.
In November, Lummis told Fox Business that her plan would
allow the United States to cut its debt in half in 20 years.
"What that does is help us protect ourselves against inflation
and protect the U.S. dollar on the world stage," she said.
A strong dollar would in turn give the United States more
leverage over foreign adversaries like China and Russia,
proponents say.
WHAT ARE THE RISKS?
Crypto skeptics say that, unlike most other commodities,
bitcoin has no intrinsic use and is not crucial to the
functioning of the U.S. economy.
Created in 2008, bitcoin remains too young and volatile to
presume its value will continue to rise in the long term, while
crypto wallets remain notoriously vulnerable to cyber attacks,
they also argue. And given its volatility, any government
purchases or sales could have an outsized impact on bitcoin's
price.