* South Africa struggles to kickstart offshore exploration
* Multiple wells delayed due to court action, other appeals
* Permits can take up to 5 years, scaring off investors
* Neighbouring Namibia seen as less risky destination
By Wendell Roelf
CAPE TOWN, July 31 (Reuters) - The Orange Basin petroleum
province shared by Namibia and South Africa has become a test
case for how African states balance the demands of oil companies
and local groups, with billions of dollars in investment, jobs
and tax revenues at stake.
The province has made Namibia a global exploration hotspot,
pushing for first oil by 2030 and expected to initially produce
around 150,000 barrels per day via TotalEnergies'
Venus project. South Africa has yet to unlock similar reserves.
Two events in June highlighted the widening gap between how
the two countries are handling the basin's development.
On June 9, Shell put out a statement describing a
new find offshore Namibia as having the "most promising
subsurface results to date" in petroleum exploration licence 39,
home to multiple promising wells since 2022 including the
country's first major oil discovery Graff-1X.
A week earlier, in a packed Cape Town courthouse,
environmental groups and fishing communities launched a bid to
overturn a permit allowing TGS to conduct offshore
seismic surveys in South Africa's area of the basin.
Environmental groups and local communities have launched at
least four court cases and numerous other appeals against South
African offshore ventures and proposed onshore liquefied natural
gas projects since 2021, according to eco-justice group Green
Connection.
That has delayed up to 10 wells expected to be drilled by
2030, South Africa's petroleum regulator PASA said.
"We cannot explore, we cannot spend money in a geography if
we have to face courts permanently and the permitting becomes
really too complex," TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne said
during October's results presentation when asked about South
Africa and Namibia.
PERMITS CAN TAKE UP TO FIVE YEARS TO SECURE IN SOUTH AFRICA
Formed millions of years ago when South America broke away
from Africa, the Orange Basin is named after a river that drains
into the Atlantic Ocean along the border of South Africa and
Namibia.
In South Africa, where around two-thirds of the basin lies,
non-governmental organisations and environmental activists have
taken a more aggressive approach to contesting projects in
extractive industries compared to Namibia, with varied success.
Current regulations there, which cut across different
ministries, allow for wide-ranging internal appeals against
environmental and social impact assessments, as well as judicial
reviews in court, whose outcomes can then also be appealed.
Industry body the Offshore Petroleum Association of South
Africa says exploration permits can take up to five years to
secure in South Africa, compared with three to nine months in
other African countries.
"A similar route of long delays threatens to frustrate South
Africa should there be any discoveries," OPASA spokesperson
Niall Kramer said.
TotalEnergies has acquired acreage along South Africa's west
coast and aimed to drill its first exploration well this year,
but its plans are now uncertain.
COMMERCIAL INTERESTS VS COMMUNITIES
Attention is now focused on a ruling, potentially later this
year, from South Africa's highest court that could make getting
offshore exploration permits easier, or more onerous.
The case, first launched in 2021, concerns a challenge by
environmental groups and local communities to a Shell-led
seismic survey along the tourism-dependent Wild Coast.
Among other things, the court is expected to determine
whether commercial interests can outweigh the rights and dignity
of coastal communities, environmental lawyer Ricky Stone said.
"This judgment will be one of the most significant
precedents in South African environmental and constitutional law
in a generation, whatever the Constitutional Court decides," he
said.
Shell declined to comment, citing its close period ahead of
earnings.
'WE DRILLED AND NOTHING HAPPENED'
Although some South African politicians advocate renewables,
petroleum minister Gwede Mantashe backs oil and gas development
and supports industry calls for specialised courts to handle
energy disputes.
South Africa's west coast has offered glimpses of potential,
including the Ibhubesi gas field, estimated to contain about 540
billion cubic feet of gas and 4.3 million barrels of condensate.
A well drilled by Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas ( ECAOF ) in 2022,
Gazania-1, also found light oil-associated gases - but not
enough to develop.
"We drilled and nothing happened," Eco Atlantic CEO Gil
Holzman told Reuters.
"So, we are living proof that one can actually drill in the
basin, leave the surface untouched, and it had zero negative
impact on the local communities, zero impact at all on the
environment," he said.
Outside the courtroom in Cape Town last month where the TGS
case was being heard, Stanley Young, a 65-year-old small-scale
fisherman from Port Nolloth, disagreed.
"The ocean provides for us for generations and we must
protect it," he told Reuters. "If oil and gas comes in here, it
will destroy our livelihoods completely."