LONDON, Nov 5 (Reuters) - AI fever has propelled global
stocks to record highs, but the data centres needed to power the
promised revolution are increasingly being financed with complex
debt that investors are scouring for signs of a bubble.
Enthusiasts say that unlike previous episodes of market
mania - such as the dotcom boom of the late 1990s - this one is
driven by companies that are profitable, have deep pockets and
an undeniable business case.
Now, however, some observers including the Bank of England
say pockets of risk are building in parts of the financial
system populated by opaque, hard-to-trade illiquid assets.
Here are five charts that show the emerging story of the
debt funding AI's race for space.
1) AI INVESTMENT GRADE BORROWING EXPLODES
BofA data shows $75 billion of U.S. investment grade debt
issued by AI-focused Big Tech hit the market in September and
October alone, more than double the sector's average annual
issuance of $32 billion between 2015 and 2024.
The total included $30 billion from Meta and $18 billion
from Oracle. Add to that Google owner Alphabet's new borrowing,
announced on Monday, or a $38 billion high-grade loan linked to
Oracle's Vantage data centres, recently reported by Bloomberg.
The $75 billion in deals from September and October still
only make up 5% of $1.5 trillion in U.S. investment grade debt
issues so far this year.
But Barclays says AI-related tech debt issuance is the key
determinant for potential credit market supply in 2026.
Debt is also taking on hybrid forms.
For example, Meta agreed a $27 billion financing with Blue
Owl Capital for its biggest data centre project, using a complex
structure that keeps the debt off its own books.
JP Morgan estimates AI-linked companies account for 14% of
its investment grade index, surpassing U.S. banks as the
dominant sector.
2) ORACLE: STANDOUT SHARES, RISING CREDIT RISK
Oracle shares have soared 54% in 2025, set for their most
powerful annual rally since 1999. Its AI-driven surge in revenue
has made it one of Wall Street's most valuable companies.
Yet a surge in its credit default swaps - a form of
insurance against default for bondholders - shows investors are
worried about the U.S. tech giant's debt levels.
3) MORE AI-RELATED 'JUNK' BONDS
AI-related issuance is also beginning to show up in the
high-yield, or "junk", debt market, which carries higher default
risk but offers higher returns.
Last month, bitcoin miner turned data centre operator
TeraWulf ( WULF ) issued a $3.2 billion high-yield bond rated BB- by S&P
Global, while Nvidia ( NVDA )-backed AI cloud provider CoreWeave issued
$2 billion in high-yield bonds in May.
4) PRIVATE CREDIT'S INCREASING ROLE IN AI FUNDING
Fast-growing private credit - extended to companies by
entities, such as investment firms, rather than banks - is also
increasingly funding AI data centres, according to UBS.
The bank estimates private credit AI-related loans may have
nearly doubled in the 12 months through early 2025.
Such loans offer more flexibility, but can be harder to
trade during market turmoil, potentially causing more financial
market stress.
Morgan Stanley estimates private credit markets could supply
over half the $1.5 trillion needed for the data centre buildout
until 2028.
5) AN ABS MAKEOVER?
Securitised products, such as asset-backed securities (ABS),
will also help fund AI industry growth, according to Morgan
Stanley. They bundle together illiquid assets such as loans,
credit card debt, or - in AI context - rent payable to a data
centre owner by a Big Tech tenant, into a tradable security.
While digital infrastructure accounts for just 5%, or $80
billion, of the roughly $1.6 trillion U.S. ABS market, BofA
notes it has expanded more than eightfold in less than five
years. It estimates that data centres backed 64% of that market,
which it expects to reach $115 billion by the end of next year
driven primarily by data centre construction.
ABS are standard financing instruments, but are viewed with
some caution since the 2008 financial crisis, when billions of
dollars worth of products turned out to be backed by soured
loans and highly illiquid and complex assets.