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GRAPHIC on Biden's oil boom: https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-BIDEN/OIL/lgpdngrgkpo/
By Nichola Groom, Jarrett Renshaw
March 28 (Reuters) - Record production. Booming exports.
Rapid jobs growth. Soaring CEO pay and shareholder returns.
Almost no matter the metric, the U.S. oil and gas industry has
flourished under President Joe Biden, even though his
administration has pushed hard to transition the U.S. economy
toward a carbon-free future to fight climate change.
The counter-intuitive fossil fuel boom under Biden reflects an
awkward truth for his supporters and detractors alike ahead of
the November elections, proving that what happens in globally
interconnected markets like oil and gas is often well outside
the immediate control of the person in the White House.
In Biden's case, Russia's invasion of Ukraine pushed oil and gas
prices so high that many producers worldwide made record
profits, not just those in the United States. The global
economic recovery that followed the darkest days of the COVID
pandemic also rapidly pumped up demand for fossil fuels.
The profits of the top five publicly traded oil companies, for
example - BP, Shell, Exxon, Chevron ( CVX )
, and TotalEnergies - amounted to $410 billion
during the first three years of the Biden administration, a 100%
increase over the first three years of Donald Trump's
presidency, according to data compiled by Reuters.
Jobs growth in U.S. fossil fuels also far outpaced that in
the renewable energy industries Biden has been promoting to
fight climate change, according to the data.
Trump, Biden's Republican presidential challenger this
November, nonetheless frequently uses Biden's energy policy as a
punchline at his campaign rallies, promising to "drill baby,
drill" and restore America's energy independence when he returns
to the White House - even as the U.S. cements its position as a
fossil fuel superpower.
Biden's supporters, meanwhile, rarely, if ever, tout the lofty
oil and gas performance, focusing instead on his push for a
green economy through lucrative subsidy packages for solar,
wind, electric vehicles and other clean energy technologies that
have sparked new manufacturing projects across the country.
"If Trump were president, he would be talking about the
great oil boom in the United States, the great energy
independence and be taking credit for the relatively low gas
prices," said Ed Hirs, an energy economist at the University of
Houston.
The White House told Reuters that the high U.S. oil and gas
output is helping, not hurting, U.S. efforts to decarbonize the
economy because it ensures steady energy supply in the meantime.
"President Biden has led and delivered on the most ambitious
climate agenda in history, restoring America's climate
leadership at home and abroad," it said in a statement. "As we
make the historic investments needed to transition to a clean
energy economy, record domestic oil and gas production is
helping to meet our immediate needs."
LONGER-TERM IMPACT
Biden came to the White House vowing to accelerate the end
of the oil and gas industry by shifting to a green economy
powered by electric vehicles, hydrogen, wind and solar. Many of
his actions could be transformative over time if allowed to
remain in place.
Among his biggest actions: He canceled the Keystone XL
Pipeline project to bring in more Canadian crude to U.S.
refineries, paused new LNG export permits pending an
environmental review, reduced the federal oil leasing schedule,
and is using the regulatory system and tax credits to speed up
the transition to electric vehicles and renewables.
His critics have sought to tie these actions to rising
prices at the gas pump, which soared amid the turmoil of
Russia's invasion of Ukraine and strain from a surge in
post-COVID demand.
The average price at the pumps during Biden's first three years
was $3.60 a gallon, compared to $2.57 during Trump's presidency,
according to data from the Energy Information Administration.
Biden's signature climate law - the Inflation Reduction Act
- includes billions of dollars in tax credits to help bolster
green industries, and while that package has already triggered a
rush of new manufacturing announcements, its full impact won't
be felt for years.
Dustin Meyer, senior vice president of policy, economics and
regulatory affairs at the American Petroleum Institute, the top
U.S. oil and gas trade group, said he feared Biden's policy
choices could damage oil and gas in years to come, even if they
are having little impact now.
"There's only so much that an administration of either party
can do in the near term to impact supply or demand," he said.
"We are concerned about the administration's policies when it
comes to leasing, when it comes to LNG, when it comes to
infrastructure development, and they are going to make it very
difficult for us to meet the energy needs of the future."
In the meantime, though, fossil fuels jobs have expanded more
quickly than clean energy jobs during Biden's presidency.
The number of U.S. jobs in oil, gas, and coal rose by 11.3%
during the first two years of Biden's presidency, outpacing the
8.8% growth posted in solar and wind energy jobs, according to
figures compiled by BW Research.
The discrepancy was even greater in terms of total jobs,
with fossil fuels growing by nearly 80,000 compared with just
over 38,000 for solar and wind, according to the BW figures.
Data for 2023 has not yet been released.
During Trump's presidency, fossil fuels jobs shrank, driven
mainly by an economic contraction triggered by the COVID
pandemic.
U.S. oil production, meanwhile, has also hit record highs under
Biden, continuing to outpace rivals Saudi Arabia and Russia. The
U.S. also produces more natural gas than ever, pulling record
volumes from wells that spread from Texas to Pennsylvania. As a
result, American ports are sending record volumes of both
abroad, including to allies in Europe who are weaning themselves
off Russia for energy supplies.
All of this has been good for companies and their
shareholders.
In addition to soaring share prices, dividend payments and share
buybacks by the top five oil companies were $111 billion during
the first three years of the Biden administration, a 57%
increase over the first three years of Trump's presidency,
according to the data.
"You could make an argument that the industry has been more
productive, relatively speaking, under this president than ever
before," said Hirs.