financetom
Business
financetom
/
Business
/
Japanese bank shares hammered as US tariffs spur fears about country's fragile recovery
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Japanese bank shares hammered as US tariffs spur fears about country's fragile recovery
Apr 4, 2025 12:20 AM

TOKYO (Reuters) -Shares of Japanese banks plunged on Friday as U.S. tariffs sparked fears of a slowdown in global growth that could choke off Japan's fragile economy recovery, snuffing out a decades-long effort to return to normal interest rates.

The Tokyo index of banking stocks ended down more than 8%, bringing its losses this week to 20%. Shares of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group ( MUFG ), the country's biggest financial firm, dropped 8.5%.

Japanese banks are some of the world's largest lenders by assets, and the sudden slump was a grim reminder of the global impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's protectionist policies and the precariousness of Japan's own exit from deflation.

After years of stop-start growth and frozen wages, the world's fourth-largest economy finally appeared to break through its long malaise last year, as prices - and wages - began to rise. In a hugely symbolic move, the central bank raised interest rates for the first time in almost two decades and its financial markets took off.

Whether that growth trajectory can continue depends to a large extent on what happens in the United States, analysts say. The world's largest economy is the main market for Japanese automakers, the country's economic engine, as well as other industries.

"The world has changed, and few economies reverberate these changes as strongly as in Japan. A weaker dollar, and threats of a global trade recession, put a real dent into Japan's reflation prospects," said Fred Neumann, Chief Asia Economist at HSBC Hong Kong.

Japan's slow move towards reflation - where prices rise rather than stagnate - has been helped, in part, by the strength of the dollar, which has driven up the cost of fuel, food, and other goods and heaped pressure on companies to raise wages.

Inflation has now exceeded the Bank of Japan's 2% target for almost three years thanks to that stronger dollar and corresponding weakness in the yen currency. That has been a vast change from the 25 years ago, when the BOJ fought to end deflation, keeping rates near zero.

While some analysts believe Trump is open to negotiations on tariffs, investors appear to be factoring in, at least for now, a worst-case scenario.

With fears of a global recession looming, the BOJ is likely to cut its economic growth forecasts and hold off raising rates at its next meeting concluding on May 1, analysts say, predicting the higher duties could knock up to 0.8% off economic growth.

But there is less certainty about just how long the BOJ will be able to keep rates where they are given mounting inflationary pressure at home that has drawn warnings from hawkish members of the board.

    "I think there's the concern that the trade war has killed Japanese reflation - so in short, it's an expression of the slow down in Japan's economy expected to come about because of tariffs, said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial market analyst at Capital.Com in Melbourne.

"Japanese yields have tumbled and the curve has flattened quite a bit, hurting the prospect for bank profits. Add the stronger currency in the air and you have a very negative mix for bank stocks."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Looking At Cava Group's Recent Unusual Options Activity
Looking At Cava Group's Recent Unusual Options Activity
Nov 9, 2024
Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bullish stance on Cava Group ( CAVA ) . And retail traders should know. We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga. Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know. But when something this...
Market Chatter: Apple Proposes $10 Million Investment to Bypass Indonesian Ban on iPhone 16 Sales
Market Chatter: Apple Proposes $10 Million Investment to Bypass Indonesian Ban on iPhone 16 Sales
Nov 9, 2024
02:42 PM EST, 11/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Apple ( AAPL ) has offered to invest nearly $10 million in Indonesia to bypass a ban on the sales of its latest iPhones, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter. According to the report, the company has proposed to Indonesia's Ministry of Industry to invest in a factory southeast of...
Market Chatter: UnitedHealthcare Doctor Pay-Related Practices Revealed in Newly Unsealed Court Records
Market Chatter: UnitedHealthcare Doctor Pay-Related Practices Revealed in Newly Unsealed Court Records
Nov 9, 2024
01:33 PM EST, 11/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- UnitedHealth Group ( UNH ) unit UnitedHealthcare's out-of-network billing practices were revealed in newly unsealed court documents, Bloomberg reported Tuesday. The records shed light on the company's battle with private equity-backed physician groups who have accused it of shortchanging clinicians who are outside its insurance network, with such battles often ending up in...
Boeing Stock Is Trading Lower, Analyst Sees Volatility Ahead: What's Going On?
Boeing Stock Is Trading Lower, Analyst Sees Volatility Ahead: What's Going On?
Nov 9, 2024
Boeing Company ( BA ) stock is trading lower on Tuesday. Bank of America expects the stock to experience some volatility after the company’s striking machinists voted to approve the plane maker’s latest labor contract proposal. What To Know: The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM) voted to ratify Boeing’s labor proposal on Monday, with 59% of the votes...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved