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Japan's megabanks raise profit forecasts again to new
records
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Domestic interest rate hikes feed into higher lending
margins
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Corporate activity strong as tariff uncertainty eases
(Recasts with MUFG results throughout, adds details from
earnings)
By Anton Bridge
TOKYO, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Japan's largest banks raised
their annual profit forecasts and share buyback programmes after
second quarter earnings as they cashed in on a long-awaited rise
in interest rates and a wave of corporate activity fuelled by
the end of deflation.
Mizuho Financial Group ( MFG ) on Friday posted a 44% rise
in net profit for July-September and raised its profit forecast
to 1.13 trillion yen ($7.5 billion) from 1.02 trillion yen for
the financial year to March 2026.
Larger rival Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group ( MUFG ) logged
a 7% increase in net profit over the period and hiked its annual
forecast to 2.1 trillion yen from 2 trillion yen.
CORPORATE ACTIVITY CONTINUES
The results also demonstrated the banks' success in
weathering uncertain global economic conditions following U.S.
President Donald Trump's announcement of wide-ranging import
tariffs in April.
As tariff-induced uncertainty waned, large Japanese firms,
which make up the bulk of the banks' corporate clients,
continued mergers, acquisitions and capital spending, supporting
loan demand.
MUFG's loan balance for large domestic corporations rose to
26.8 trillion yen at the end of September from 25.6 trillion a
year earlier.
Japan's return to positive interest rates has also begun to
feed into the banks' profits.
Mizuho's domestic loan and deposit rate margin over the six
months to the end of September rose to 1.07% from 0.92% in the
2024 financial year and 0.76% in the year before that.
"There's still a lot of uncertainty concerning tariffs. If
for instance 15% tariffs are imposed on cars, the components and
materials may be subject to different tariffs," Mizuho Chief
Executive Masahiro Kihara told a press briefing.
"But corporate actions have steadily returned," Kihara said.
MUFG announced a 250 billion yen share buyback, bringing its
total for this financial year to a record 500 billion yen, while
Mizuho announced one of 200 billion yen, bringing its annual
total to 300 billion yen.
During years of rock-bottom interest rates, Japan's banks
looked to expand beyond domestic lending, such as
internationally or in areas such as wealth management.
MUFG owns about 24% of Morgan Stanley ( MS ), which makes up
over a quarter of its net income, while non-interest income in
Mizuho's global corporate and investment banking unit grew
nearly 20% year-on-year in the six months to end-September.
"Since the negative interest rates period we have massively
increased our revenue streams, including abroad," Kihara said.
Both Mizuho and MUFG reported record profits in the year
ended March 2025 and Friday's forecasts exceed previous
estimates, which themselves prefigured records.
MUFG, Japan's largest lender, reported quarterly profit of
747 billion yen, while number three player Mizuho booked 399
billion yen.
Mitsui Sumitomo Financial Group, Japan's
second-largest banking group, also reports earnings on Friday.
($1 = 150.7800 yen)