MEXICO CITY, July 23 (Reuters) -
Executives at Mexican lender Banorte on
Wednesday warned that foreign-exchange volatility and a
potential dividend payout could weigh on the company's
performance for the remainder of the year.
The cautionary outlook came a day after the bank
reported a
4% rise in second-quarter net profit
, bolstered by double-digit growth in its loan portfolio.
Banorte's shares rose 3.5% during the analyst call.
On the call, executives said a strengthening peso could
dent results by reducing the value of income generated in U.S.
dollars, though they maintained full-year guidance.
They noted that a peso level of 17 or 18 to the dollar
would add pressure, while a move above 20 would be beneficial.
The bank's forecast is for the peso to ease toward 19 per
greenback by year-end.
This outlook is based on expectations that Mexico's
central bank will cut interest rates by 100 basis points this
year, outpacing an expected 50-basis-point reduction in the
U.S., which would narrow the rate differential and likely weigh
on the peso.
Executives added that they were analyzing a dividend
payout which could be announced in the third quarter to reward
shareholders, though it would mean less cash on hand to grow the
loan book.
Despite the headwinds, which also include uncertainty
around reviews of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade pact, Chief
Financial Officer Rafael Arana de la Garza said that the bank is
well-positioned to manage stress.