July 11 (Reuters) - The rapid growth of private credit
lending beyond its traditional market highlights its opaque
nature and potential concerns among regulators about its future
risks to the U.S. economy, according to a new Moody's Ratings
report that cites regulators and industry bodies.
Banks in recent years have experienced a rise in competition
from private credit lenders: non-bank firms offering
non-publicly traded debt mainly to mid-sized corporate
borrowers.
Pushed by increasing demand from investors, private credit
lenders have recently branched out into alternative lending
opportunities outside of this middle-market base such as
asset-based financing, Moody's said in a report published
Thursday.
Private credit lenders have recently seen revived
competition for financing from banks, which are the traditional
lenders for leveraged buyouts and the middle-market.
PitchBook LCD data shows that banks this year through
mid-May have refinanced $14 billion of debt previously provided
by private lenders. Banks also provided $44 billion of leveraged
loans for M&A deals through May 15, roughly twice what they
financed over the same period last year, according to Pitchbook.
This has in turn eaten into returns on these investments for
private credit investors, leading lenders to find new
opportunities such as investment-grade asset-based financings.
"This highly diverse asset class - supported by far-ranging
cash flows from receivables and leases - dwarfs growth potential
for middle market lending," wrote Moody's analysts, noting that
banks have begun handing over their consumer loan portfolios to
these asset managers.
The International Monetary Fund recently highlighted the
potential risks posed by private credit's growth. "While we do
not see immediate red flags, we do worry that this asset class
could become riskier as it expands in size," the IMF wrote in
its April Global Financial Stability report.
Moody's cited regulators' concerns that this "new era" of
private credit growth poses a "growing interlinkage of risks,"
according to the report, especially as more banks and insurers
partner with private credit lenders or participate in their
fundraising.
Four of the largest publicly-traded alternative asset
managers with private credit arms - Blackstone, KKR
, Apollo and Carlyle - grew their credit
assets under management to $1.3 trillion in the first quarter of
2024 from just $481 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019,
according to the report.
Lack of transparency remains one of the greatest challenges
posed by the market. On June 5, a U.S. appeals court vacated an
SEC rule that would have provided more information to private
investors. The recent ruling "suggests that enhanced regulatory
oversight of the private fund industry may be a distance off,"
Moody's noted.
After Reuters published a story on the Moody's report, the
credit rating agency emailed to add that its report primarily
underscores the opacity of the private credit market and cites
the opinions of third-parties about risks this poses.