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OPEC+ likely to agree small oil output increase for December, sources say
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OPEC+ likely to agree small oil output increase for December, sources say
Oct 31, 2025 7:11 AM

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Group likely to agree to 137,000 bpd hike, sources say

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New sanctions make it difficult for Russia to raise output

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OPEC+ has slowed pace of increases amid glut predictions

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Eight OPEC+ countries to meet online on Sunday

By Olesya Astakhova, Ahmad Ghaddar and Alex Lawler

LONDON/MOSCOW, Oct 31 (Reuters) - OPEC+ will likely

agree on Sunday another small hike in oil output targets for

December, three sources familiar with the talks said, as the

group moderates its drive to regain market share amid

predictions of a supply glut next year.

OPEC+ has raised output targets by more than 2.7 million

barrels per day - about 2.5% of global supply - since April but

slowed the pace in October and November to 137,000 bpd from

larger increases amid predictions of a looming oversupply.

New Western sanctions on OPEC+ member Russia are adding to

challenges in the discussions as Moscow may struggle to further

raise output.

Eight OPEC+ members - Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United

Arab Emirates, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Kazakhstan and Algeria - are

set to agree on Sunday to increase December output targets by

another 137,000 bpd, the three sources said, all of whom

declined to be named.

A fourth source said a pause in output hikes was also

possible.

OPEC, the office of Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander

Novak, and Saudi Arabia's government media office did not

immediately respond to requests for comment.

Oil prices fell to a five-month low of about $60 a

barrel on October 20 on concerns that a glut was building, but

have since recovered to about $65 on the sanctions on Russia and

optimism over trade talks.

Saudi Arabia and its OPEC partners will not raise production

significantly unless there is clear evidence of a supply

disruption, RBC analyst Helima Croft said in a note this week.

Croft expects the group to raise targets by 137,000 bpd.

Rystad, Commerzbank and SEB also expect a 137,000 bpd

increase.

The Sunday meeting is scheduled for 1400 GMT, a source said.

(Additional reporting by Maha El Dahan. Editing by Dmitry

Zhdannikov and Susan Fenton)

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