Overview
* Papa John's Q3 revenue flat yr/yr, missing analyst expectations
* Adjusted EPS for Q3 misses analyst estimates
* North America comparable sales down 3%, international sales up 7%
Outlook
* Company revises 2025 system-wide sales growth to 1% to 2% vs 2% to 2.5% earlier
* North America comparable sales expected to decline 2% to 2.5% vs flat to up 2% earlier
* International comparable sales forecasted to rise 5% to 6%
* Adjusted EBITDA guidance lowered to $190 mln to $200 mln
* Depreciation and amortization expenses projected at $80 mln to $95 mln
Result Drivers
* INTERNATIONAL GROWTH - International comparable sales increased 7% driven by strong performance in international markets
* NORTH AMERICA DECLINE - North America comparable sales decreased 3% due to softer consumer sentiment and competitive promotional environment
* COST SAVINGS - Identified $25 mln in G&A savings and $50 mln in supply chain savings to improve profitability
Key Details
Metric Beat/Mis Actual Consensu
s s
Estimate
Q3 Miss $508.15 $523.79
Revenue mln mln (15
Analysts
)
Q3 Miss $0.32 $0.41
Adjusted (16
EPS Analysts
)
Q3 EPS $0.13
Q3 Net $4.47
Income mln
Analyst Coverage
* The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 7 "strong buy" or "buy", 10 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
* The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"
* Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Papa John's International Inc is $50.00, about 17.5% above its November 5 closing price of $41.26
* The stock recently traded at 19 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 21 three months ago
Press Release:
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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)